EDGE PICKPaderborn Under 1.5 goals · 44.7% · @1.77
Book 56% · Us 45%-11price too short
Backed by
Paderborn scored under 1.5 in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Eintracht Frankfurt conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · H2H 2 of 6 · Paderborn: only games against sides at Eintracht Frankfurt's level · Eintracht Frankfurt: only games against sides at Paderborn's level
· main loses on: 0-0, 1-0, 0-1 | hedge wins on all of them
THE READ
Match details. Bundesliga, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 15:30 Lagos time. It is played at Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn.
What's at stake. Paderborn are 14th on 9 points after 8 games, level on points with 1. FC Köln, level on points with Hamburger SV. A win would take them above 1. FC Köln. Eintracht Frankfurt are 8th on 11 points after 8 games, 2 points behind SV Elversberg, 1 point clear of FSV Mainz 05. A win would take them above SV Elversberg.
Form. Paderborn have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D L. Eintracht Frankfurt have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W L.
The numbers. Paderborn score 0.8 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Paderborn average 12.1 shots (4.1 on target), 4.9 corners and 1.7 cards a game, with 50% of the ball. Eintracht Frankfurt score 3.3 and concede two a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Eintracht Frankfurt average 12.7 shots (7.0 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last six meetings Paderborn have won three, drawn one and lost two. Five of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Paderborn won two and Eintracht Frankfurt won two. The last time they met, on 27 Jun 2020, it finished Paderborn 2-3 Eintracht Frankfurt: Paderborn had 17 shots to 13, 39% of the ball, one yellow card.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%; five of the last six meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Paderborn's record still gives them 36% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. Eintracht Frankfurt or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. Eintracht Frankfurt are the stronger side on form and the table. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%. Five of the last six meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.12, 74% on the records (Paderborn: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 8; Eintracht Frankfurt: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 8). Full cover: Under 5.5 Goals at 1.14. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Predicted score: Paderborn 1-2 Eintracht Frankfurt (8% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Eintracht Frankfurt or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
PAD 7 of 8 (88%) · EIN 5 of 8 (62%)88.5%
Eintracht Frankfurt: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Paderborn: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 5 of 6 · Eintracht Frankfurt: only games against sides at Paderborn's level · Paderborn: only games against sides at Eintracht Frankfurt's level
Eintracht Frankfurt or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.24
PAD 7 of 8 (88%) · EIN 5 of 8 (62%)86.2%
Eintracht Frankfurt: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Paderborn: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 5 of 6 · Eintracht Frankfurt: only games against sides at Paderborn's level · Paderborn: only games against sides at Eintracht Frankfurt's level
Eintracht Frankfurt win or both teams scoreIN CODES
1.14
PAD 6 of 8 (75%) · EIN 5 of 8 (62%)80%
Eintracht Frankfurt: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Paderborn: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · H2H 5 of 6 · Eintracht Frankfurt: only games against sides at Paderborn's level · Paderborn: only games against sides at Eintracht Frankfurt's level
Eintracht Frankfurt or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.26
PAD 3 of 5 (60%) · EIN 6 of 8 (75%)70%
Eintracht Frankfurt scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Paderborn trailed or failed to win in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Eintracht Frankfurt: only games against sides at Paderborn's level · Paderborn: only games against sides at Eintracht Frankfurt's level
Eintracht Frankfurt (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.66
PAD 3 of 6 (50%) · EIN 3 of 5 (60%)64%
Eintracht Frankfurt won 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Paderborn lost 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 55% · H2H 2 of 5 · Eintracht Frankfurt: only games against sides at Paderborn's level · Paderborn: only games against sides at Eintracht Frankfurt's level · won 6, refunded 1, lost 4
Eintracht Frankfurt or draw and over 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.55
PAD 3 of 8 (38%) · EIN 4 of 8 (50%)58%
Paderborn: the bet landed in 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Eintracht Frankfurt: the bet landed in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 44% · H2H 2 of 6 · Paderborn: only games against sides at Eintracht Frankfurt's level · Eintracht Frankfurt: only games against sides at Paderborn's level
Eintracht Frankfurt 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
1.49
PAD 3 of 5 (60%) · EIN 6 of 8 (75%)57.5%
Eintracht Frankfurt scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Paderborn trailed in 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Eintracht Frankfurt: only games against sides at Paderborn's level · Paderborn: only games against sides at Eintracht Frankfurt's level
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.12
PAD 4 of 8 (50%) · EIN 6 of 8 (75%)86.9%
Paderborn: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Eintracht Frankfurt: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · H2H 5 of 6 · Paderborn: only games against sides at Eintracht Frankfurt's level · Eintracht Frankfurt: only games against sides at Paderborn's level
Under 5.5 GoalsFULL COVERIN CODES
1.14
PAD 8 of 8 (100%) · EIN 6 of 8 (75%)85.1%
Paderborn: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Eintracht Frankfurt: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · H2H 5 of 6 · Paderborn: only games against sides at Eintracht Frankfurt's level · Eintracht Frankfurt: only games against sides at Paderborn's level
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.32
PAD 8 of 8 (100%) · EIN 5 of 8 (62%)68.9%
Paderborn: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Eintracht Frankfurt: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · H2H 4 of 6 · Paderborn: only games against sides at Eintracht Frankfurt's level · Eintracht Frankfurt: only games against sides at Paderborn's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.46
PAD 3 of 8 (38%) · EIN 6 of 8 (75%)67.8%
Paderborn: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Eintracht Frankfurt: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 56% · H2H 5 of 6 · Paderborn: only games against sides at Eintracht Frankfurt's level · Eintracht Frankfurt: only games against sides at Paderborn's level
PADERBORN GOALS
Paderborn Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.77
PAD 6 of 8 (75%) · EIN 4 of 8 (50%)44.7%
Paderborn scored under 1.5 in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Eintracht Frankfurt conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · H2H 2 of 6 · Paderborn: only games against sides at Eintracht Frankfurt's level · Eintracht Frankfurt: only games against sides at Paderborn's level
EINTRACHT FRANKFURT GOALS
Eintracht Frankfurt Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.15
PAD 6 of 8 (75%) · EIN 5 of 8 (62%)80.7%
Eintracht Frankfurt scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Paderborn conceded in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · H2H 5 of 6 · Eintracht Frankfurt: only games against sides at Paderborn's level · Paderborn: only games against sides at Eintracht Frankfurt's level
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.15
PAD 5 of 8 (62%) · EIN 8 of 8 (100%)81.8%
Paderborn: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Eintracht Frankfurt: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Paderborn: only games against sides at Eintracht Frankfurt's level · Eintracht Frankfurt: only games against sides at Paderborn's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–28.4%
Paderborn goals →
Eintracht Frankfurt goals ↓
0-08%
1-09%
2-06%
3-02%
4-00.8%
5-00.2%
0-19%
1-113%
2-18%
3-13%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-27%
1-28%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.7%
5-20.2%
0-33%
1-34%
2-32%
3-31.0%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-41%
1-41%
2-40.8%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.3%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
PADERBORNDLWDLWLLDW1.20 PPG
EINTRACHT FRANKFURTWWLWLDWLDW1.70 PPG
THE NUMBERS
PADERBORN HOMExEINTRACHT FRANKFURT AWAY
0.75SCORED A GAME1.621.12CONCEDED A GAME2.2530%CLEAN SHEETS20%62%FAILED TO SCORE25%4.88CORNERS A GAME4.881.70CARDS A GAME2.301.00xG1.761.62xG AGAINST1.96
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
EINTRACHT FRANKFURT TO SCORE
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136 OF 144
NO PRICE YET
The tips call a clear winner in a league averaging 2.9+ goals a game.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.12POINTS A GAME1.22-0.38GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.67-1.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.01.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.28LEAGUE GAMES9
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
57%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
55%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
89%
OKAY · 85/90
PADERBORN OR DRAW
66%
NO · 80/85
EINTRACHT FRANKFURT OR DRAW
44%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
PADERBORNxEINTRACHT FRANKFURT
5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME1.001.00CONCEDED A GAME2.002.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.060%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%40%BOTH SCORE40%2.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–10.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.