BDBOR

15:30Sat 7 Nov

SVE

Borussia Dortmund vs SV 07 Elversberg

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DOUBLE CHANCE

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Double Chance: Borussia Dortmund or…

Borussia Dortmund v SV 07 Elversberg

Germany - Bundesliga · 15:30

1.09odds

92%book

+4edge

1/1angles

THE READ

Match details. Bundesliga, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 15:30 Lagos time. It is played at SIGNAL IDUNA PARK, Dortmund.

What's at stake. Borussia Dortmund are 2nd on 18 points after 8 games, level on points with Bayern München, 2 points clear of SC Freiburg. A win would take them above Bayern München. SV 07 Elversberg are 7th on 13 points after 8 games, level on points with Bayer Leverkusen, 2 points clear of Eintracht Frankfurt. A win would take them above Bayer Leverkusen.

Form. Borussia Dortmund have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W. SV 07 Elversberg have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W L.

The numbers. Borussia Dortmund score 2.2 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Borussia Dortmund average 13.3 shots (5.5 on target), 5.5 corners and 1.7 cards a game, with 54% of the ball. SV 07 Elversberg score 1.4 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. SV 07 Elversberg average 10.4 shots (4.3 on target), 4.1 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 46% of the ball.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 75% against the records' 47%.

The read. No firm call: Borussia Dortmund are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Borussia Dortmund the likelier winners; Borussia Dortmund are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Borussia Dortmund. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 66%.

The bets. Best bet: Borussia Dortmund or Draw at 1.09, 92% on the records (a proven pattern for games read like this one (team or draw)). Leave: 2nd Half - Borussia Dortmund Over/Under: Over 0.5 (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Borussia Dortmund 2-1 SV 07 Elversberg (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Double Chance: Borussia Dortmund or DrawMAININ CODES

1.09

95.8%

a proven pattern for games read like this one (team or draw)

Borussia Dortmund or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BOR 6 of 7 (86%) · SVE 7 of 8 (88%)93.3%

Borussia Dortmund: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · SV 07 Elversberg: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 87% · Borussia Dortmund: only games against sides at SV 07 Elversberg's level · SV 07 Elversberg: only games against sides at Borussia Dortmund's level

Borussia Dortmund or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.09

BOR 6 of 7 (86%) · SVE 7 of 8 (88%)90.9%

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BOR 6 of 7 (86%) · SVE 7 of 8 (88%)96.3%

Borussia Dortmund: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · SV 07 Elversberg: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 87% · Borussia Dortmund: only games against sides at SV 07 Elversberg's level · SV 07 Elversberg: only games against sides at Borussia Dortmund's level

Under 5.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.18

BOR 7 of 7 (100%) · SVE 6 of 8 (75%)90.9%

Borussia Dortmund: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · SV 07 Elversberg: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Borussia Dortmund: only games against sides at SV 07 Elversberg's level · SV 07 Elversberg: only games against sides at Borussia Dortmund's level

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.42

BOR 7 of 7 (100%) · SVE 4 of 8 (50%)74.3%

Borussia Dortmund: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · SV 07 Elversberg: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Borussia Dortmund: only games against sides at SV 07 Elversberg's level · SV 07 Elversberg: only games against sides at Borussia Dortmund's level

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.29

BOR 4 of 7 (57%) · SVE 6 of 8 (75%)62.9%

Borussia Dortmund: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · SV 07 Elversberg: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 66% · Borussia Dortmund: only games against sides at SV 07 Elversberg's level · SV 07 Elversberg: only games against sides at Borussia Dortmund's level

BORUSSIA DORTMUND GOALS

Borussia Dortmund Over 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.28

BOR 4 of 7 (57%) · SVE 5 of 8 (62%)67.8%

Borussia Dortmund scored over 1.5 in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · SV 07 Elversberg conceded over 1.5 in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · Borussia Dortmund: only games against sides at SV 07 Elversberg's level · SV 07 Elversberg: only games against sides at Borussia Dortmund's level

SV 07 ELVERSBERG GOALS

SV 07 Elversberg Under 1.5 goalsLEANIN CODES

1.29

BOR 4 of 8 (50%) · SVE 5 of 7 (71%)66.5%

SV 07 Elversberg scored under 1.5 in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Borussia Dortmund conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 61% · SV 07 Elversberg: only games against sides at Borussia Dortmund's level · Borussia Dortmund: only games against sides at SV 07 Elversberg's level

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.13

BOR 6 of 7 (86%) · SVE 7 of 8 (88%)86.6%

Borussia Dortmund: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · SV 07 Elversberg: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 87% · on half-time scores · Borussia Dortmund: only games against sides at SV 07 Elversberg's level · SV 07 Elversberg: only games against sides at Borussia Dortmund's level

Left off the list: 2nd Half - Borussia Dortmund Over/Under: Over 0.5 (the numbers (66%) and the records (87%) are 21 points apart, and nothing settles it)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.5%

Borussia Dortmund goals →

SV 07 Elversberg goals ↓

0-07%

1-010%

2-09%

3-05%

4-02%

5-00.6%

0-17%

1-112%

2-110%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.7%

0-24%

1-26%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.4%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.4%

1-40.6%

2-40.5%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

BORUSSIA DORTMUNDWDWWWDLDWW2.10 PPG

SV 07 ELVERSBERGWLLWLDLWWW1.60 PPG

THE NUMBERS

BORUSSIA DORTMUND HOMExSV 07 ELVERSBERG AWAY

1.75SCORED A GAME2.000.75CONCEDED A GAME2.0040%CLEAN SHEETS10%12%FAILED TO SCORE38%5.50CORNERS A GAME4.131.70CARDS A GAME1.601.56xG1.421.35xG AGAINST2.15

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

BORUSSIA DORTMUND TO SCORE

–

136 OF 144

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner in a league averaging 2.9+ goals a game.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

2.11POINTS A GAME1.62+0.89GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.00+1.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-4.41.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.49LEAGUE GAMES8

Borussia Dortmund: the quality side - a better goal difference, more shots than it allows.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

66%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

57%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

74%

NO · 85/90

BORUSSIA DORTMUND OR DRAW

88%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

SV 07 ELVERSBERG OR DRAW

44%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

BORUSSIA DORTMUNDxSV 07 ELVERSBERG

5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME1.600.80CONCEDED A GAME1.802.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.440%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%40%BOTH SCORE40%4.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.89.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES12.0

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Borussia Dortmund have scored in 80% of their games.

SV 07 Elversberg have scored in 60% of their games.

Borussia Dortmund kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

SV 07 Elversberg kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetsleague tableteam newscornerscards