Toulouse vs Strasbourg
Match details. Ligue 1, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Fri 6 Nov, 20:45 Lagos time. It is played at Stadium Municipal, Toulouse. The referee is Mathieu Vernice.
What's at stake. Toulouse are 12th on 10 points after 9 games, 2 points behind Lorient, level on points with Strasbourg. A win would take them above Lorient. Strasbourg are 13th on 10 points after 9 games, level on points with Toulouse, level on points with Auxerre. A win would take them above Toulouse.
Team news. Toulouse are without A. Donnum (yellow cards), R. Messali (thigh injury), M. Niflore (knee injury), A. Donnum (yellow cards), R. Messali (thigh injury), M. Niflore (knee injury). Strasbourg are without J. Panichelli (knee injury), F. Balde (leg injury), J. Panichelli (knee injury), F. Balde (leg injury).
Form. Toulouse have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W D W. Strasbourg have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L.
The numbers. Toulouse score 1.2 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and five games without a goal. Toulouse average 10.9 shots (4.5 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 53% of the ball. Strasbourg score 1.6 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Strasbourg average 10.7 shots (5.2 on target), 2.7 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Toulouse have won three, drawn two and lost five. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Toulouse won two and Strasbourg won two. The last time they met, on 3 May 2026, it finished Toulouse 2-1 Strasbourg: Toulouse had 16 shots to 9, 46% of the ball, four yellow cards.
The case against. Strasbourg's record still gives them 32% to win.
The read. Toulouse or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. Toulouse are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 69%. Six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.18, 76% on the records (Toulouse: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7; Strasbourg: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Full cover: Under 5.5 Goals at 1.10. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Toulouse or Draw & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Toulouse 2-1 Strasbourg (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).