Match details. Bundesliga, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Fri 6 Nov, 20:30 Lagos time. It is played at Volksparkstadion, Hamburger. The referee is Sven Jablonski.
What's at stake. Hamburger SV are 15th on 9 points after 8 games, level on points with SC Paderborn 07, 2 points clear of Union Berlin. A win would take them above SC Paderborn 07. Borussia M´gladbach are 18th on 4 points after 8 games, 2 points behind FC Schalke 04. A win would take them above FC Schalke 04.
Team news. Hamburger SV are without B. Nadir (muscle injury), N. Remberg (knee injury), F. Vieira (thigh injury), M. Vuskovic (doping), N. Capaldo (muscle injury), Y. Poulsen (hip injury). Borussia M´gladbach are without H. Bolin (muscle injury), N. Kuhn (muscle injury), E. Leopold (knee injury), J. Leszczynski (knee injury), K. Diks (personal reasons), F. Fleck (muscle injury).
Form. Hamburger SV have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W W. Borussia M´gladbach have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L L.
The numbers. Hamburger SV score 1.1 and concede 2.2 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Hamburger SV average 9.1 shots (3.6 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 40% of the ball. Borussia M´gladbach score 1.8 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Borussia M´gladbach average 11.6 shots (5.2 on target), 5.6 corners and 2.9 cards a game, with 45% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Hamburger SV have won four, drawn four and lost two. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Hamburger SV won one, two were drawn and Borussia M´gladbach won one. The last time they met, on 17 Jan 2026, it finished Hamburger SV 0-0 Borussia M´gladbach: Hamburger SV had 25 shots to 6, 57% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 73%; six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. Borussia M´gladbach's record still gives them 36% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. Hamburger SV or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. Both teams' records favour Hamburger SV. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 73%. Six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Hamburger SV or Draw & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); 1X2 - 2UP: Hamburger SV (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Hamburger SV 2-1 Borussia M´gladbach (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).