CSB Atenas vs CA Sarmiento de la Banda
Match details. Torneo Federal A, Round of 16. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 23:15 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio 9 de Julio.
What's at stake. CSB Atenas are 18th on 23 points after 16 games, level on points with Argentino Monte Maíz, level on points with Huracan Las Heras. A win would take them above Argentino Monte Maíz. CA Sarmiento de la Banda are 13th on 25 points after 16 games, level on points with Cipolletti, level on points with 9 de Julio Rafaela. A win would take them above Cipolletti. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. CSB Atenas have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D L. In this competition CSB Atenas have gone L W L D L L. CA Sarmiento de la Banda have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D L L. In this competition CA Sarmiento de la Banda have gone W D D L L L.
The numbers. CSB Atenas score 1.2 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. CSB Atenas average 9.3 shots (3.4 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 51% of the ball. CA Sarmiento de la Banda score 0.9 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and five games without a goal. CA Sarmiento de la Banda average 14.4 shots (6.2 on target), 5.4 corners and 3.0 cards a game, with 54% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last four meetings CSB Atenas have won two, drawn none and lost two. One of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in none. The last time they met, on 25 Oct 2026, it finished CSB Atenas 0-3 CA Sarmiento de la Banda: CSB Atenas had 9 shots to 17, 43% of the ball, two yellow cards.
The case against. A knockout game (Round of 16) with penalties if level, and CSB Atenas are not clearly stronger. CA Sarmiento de la Banda's record still gives them 37% to win.
The read. CSB Atenas or the draw. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CSB Atenas the likelier winners; CSB Atenas are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%. Three of the last four meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CSB Atenas 1-1 CA Sarmiento de la Banda (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).