Moravia vs Chorotega FC
Match details. Primera Division, Women. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 18:00 Lagos time.
Form. Moravia have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D L. Chorotega FC have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L.
The numbers. Moravia score 1.8 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Moravia average 3.9 corners and 0.4 cards a game. Chorotega FC score 0.4 and concede 4.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Chorotega FC average 0.2 corners and 0.5 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 79% against the records' 48%.
The read. No firm call: Moravia are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Moravia the likelier winners; Moravia are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Moravia. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 73%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.12, 92% on the records (Moravia: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Chorotega FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: Moravia or Over 2.5 Goals at 1.11. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Moravia Over 0.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Moravia 3-1 Chorotega FC (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).