Baraunas RN vs Visao Celeste
Match details. Potiguar, 2. Divisao. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. Baraunas RN have won four, drawn three and lost none of their last seven league games, 2.1 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D D D W W. Visao Celeste have won two, drawn none and lost eight of their last ten league games, 0.6 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L L L W.
The numbers. Baraunas RN score 1.6 and concede 0.4 a game over their last seven, with six clean sheets and two games without a goal. Baraunas RN average 20.3 shots (9.3 on target), 6.3 corners and 3.0 cards a game. Visao Celeste score 1.6 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Visao Celeste average 13.2 shots (6.2 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
The case against. Visao Celeste's record still gives them 20% to win.
The read. Baraunas RN to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Baraunas RN the likelier winners; Baraunas RN are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Baraunas RN. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 72%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Baraunas RN 2-1 Visao Celeste (10% chance).
The agreed story. Baraunas RN or the draw, an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).