Ajel de Rufisque vs ASC Diambars
Match details. Ligue 1, Regular Season - 3. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 17:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Ajel de Rufisque are 8th on 2 points after 2 games, 1 point behind Diambars, level on points with Stade de Mbour. A win would take them above Diambars. ASC Diambars are 7th on 3 points after 2 games, 1 point behind Guédiawaye, 1 point clear of AJEL. A win would take them above Guédiawaye.
Form. Ajel de Rufisque have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W L. In this competition Ajel de Rufisque have gone D D W W L W. ASC Diambars have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L L. In this competition ASC Diambars have gone L W L L W L.
The numbers. Ajel de Rufisque score 0.6 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and five games without a goal. Ajel de Rufisque average 0.5 corners and 0.5 cards a game. ASC Diambars score 1.6 and concede 2.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. ASC Diambars average 3.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 29%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Ajel de Rufisque or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); ASC Diambars or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Ajel de Rufisque 1-1 ASC Diambars (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).