Hartlepool United vs Wealdstone FC
Match details. National League. Kick-off is Sat 14 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. Hartlepool United have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W L. Wealdstone FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W W.
The numbers. Hartlepool United score one and concede 1.3 a game in their last six at home, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Hartlepool United average 4.6 corners and 1.9 cards a game. Wealdstone FC score 1.8 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Wealdstone FC average 4.7 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 29% against the records' 57%.
The read. No firm call: Wealdstone FC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Wealdstone FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Wealdstone FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 71%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.19, 76% on the records (Hartlepool United: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 7; Wealdstone FC: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7). Leave: Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Hartlepool United Under 1.5 goals (Wealdstone FC's own games don't back it (3 of 7)). Predicted score: Hartlepool United 2-1 Wealdstone FC (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).