Port Vale vs Accrington Stanley
Match details. League Two. Kick-off is Sat 14 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. Port Vale have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D W. Accrington Stanley have won three, drawn seven and lost none of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W D.
The numbers. Port Vale score 2.3 and concede 0.3 a game in their last six at home, with five clean sheets. Port Vale average 4.8 corners and 1.9 cards a game. Accrington Stanley score 1.7 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Accrington Stanley average 5.2 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 53% against the records' 29%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 20%.
The read. No firm call: Port Vale are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make Port Vale the likelier winners; Port Vale are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Port Vale 1-1 Accrington Stanley (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).