ECEXE

13:30Sat 14 Nov

CHE

Exeter City vs Cheltenham Town

CLASS E

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. League Two. Kick-off is Sat 14 Nov, 13:30 Lagos time.

Form. Exeter City have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D W. Cheltenham Town have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L D.

The numbers. Exeter City score 1.4 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Exeter City average 4.4 corners and 1.6 cards a game. Cheltenham Town score 1.4 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Cheltenham Town average 4.1 corners and 2.5 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.

The case against. Cheltenham Town's record still gives them 31% to win.

The read. Exeter City to win. Their goals for and against make Exeter City the likelier winners; Exeter City are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Exeter City.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Exeter City 1-0 Cheltenham Town (11% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

EXE 8 of 8 (100%) · CHE 7 of 8 (88%)94.5%

Exeter City: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Cheltenham Town: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Exeter City: only games against sides at Cheltenham Town's level · Cheltenham Town: only games against sides at Exeter City's level

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.10

EXE 8 of 8 (100%) · CHE 6 of 8 (75%)86.6%

Exeter City: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Cheltenham Town: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Exeter City: only games against sides at Cheltenham Town's level · Cheltenham Town: only games against sides at Exeter City's level

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 10.9%

Exeter City goals →

Cheltenham Town goals ↓

0-08%

1-011%

2-010%

3-06%

4-02%

5-00.8%

0-16%

1-112%

2-110%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.8%

0-23%

1-26%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.4%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.3%

1-40.5%

2-40.4%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

EXETER CITYLWWDWDWLDD1.60 PPG

CHELTENHAM TOWNLWWLDLLWDD1.20 PPG

THE NUMBERS

EXETER CITY HOMExCHELTENHAM TOWN AWAY

0.79SCORED A GAME1.640.64CONCEDED A GAME1.7940%BOTH SCORED70%50%CLEAN SHEETS10%4.36CORNERS A GAME4.071.64CARDS A GAME2.50

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.57POINTS A GAME1.50+0.29GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.14+0.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.32.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.214LEAGUE GAMES14

Exeter City: the quality side - better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

57%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

28%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

95%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

EXETER CITY OR DRAW

98%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

CHELTENHAM TOWN OR DRAW

40%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (14 and 14 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

EXETER CITYxCHELTENHAM TOWN

7GAMES71.14SCORED A GAME0.860.29CONCEDED A GAME2.001.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.957%OVER 1.5 GOALS86%14%OVER 2.5 GOALS57%29%BOTH SCORE71%3.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–8.7CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Exeter City have scored in 70% of their games.

Cheltenham Town have scored in 80% of their games.

Exeter City kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

Cheltenham Town kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards