WTWIM

16:00Sun 8 Nov

CRA

Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. FA Cup, 1/128-finals. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Wimborne Town have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W. Crawley Town have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L L D.

The numbers. Wimborne Town score 3.2 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets. Crawley Town score one and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Crawley Town average 13.8 shots (5.5 on target), 4.5 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 51% of the ball.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 15% against the records' 83%.

The read. No firm call: Wimborne Town are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Wimborne Town the likelier winners; Wimborne Town are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Wimborne Town. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Crawley Town Over 0.5 Goals (Wimborne Town's own games don't back it (1 of 5)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Wimborne Town 2-1 Crawley Town (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Wimborne Town or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

WIM 5 of 5 (100%) · CRA 4 of 5 (80%)90%

Wimborne Town: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Crawley Town: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90%

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.16

WIM 4 of 5 (80%) · CRA 4 of 5 (80%)81.7%

Wimborne Town: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Crawley Town: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.51

WIM 3 of 5 (60%) · CRA 3 of 5 (60%)63.3%

Wimborne Town: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Crawley Town: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 70%

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Crawley Town Over 0.5 Goals (Wimborne Town's own games don't back it (1 of 5)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.3%

Wimborne Town goals →

Crawley Town goals ↓

0-03%

1-07%

2-010%

3-08%

4-05%

5-03%

0-12%

1-18%

2-19%

3-18%

4-15%

5-13%

0-21%

1-23%

2-24%

3-24%

4-22%

5-21%

0-30.4%

1-31%

2-31%

3-31%

4-30.8%

5-30.4%

0-40.1%

1-40.3%

2-40.3%

3-40.3%

4-40.2%

5-40.1%

0-50.0%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

WIMBORNE TOWNWWWWLWWWDW2.50 PPG

CRAWLEY TOWNLLLLWDLLDW0.80 PPG

THE NUMBERS

WIMBORNE TOWN HOMExCRAWLEY TOWN AWAY

2.60SCORED A GAME1.500.80CONCEDED A GAME2.0050%CLEAN SHEETS20%17%FAILED TO SCORE25%

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.54POINTS A GAME0.83+0.85GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.50–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-3.12.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.013LEAGUE GAMES12

Wimborne Town: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

WIMBORNE TOWN 2:0 HANDICAP

–

389 OF 413

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

62%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

34%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

90%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

WIMBORNE TOWN OR DRAW

79%

NO · 80/85

CRAWLEY TOWN OR DRAW

50%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (13 and 12 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

WIMBORNE TOWNxCRAWLEY TOWN

8GAMES62.00SCORED A GAME1.170.62CONCEDED A GAME1.502.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.762%OVER 1.5 GOALS83%38%OVER 2.5 GOALS50%25%BOTH SCORE67%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Wimborne Town have scored in 90% of their games.

Crawley Town have scored in 90% of their games.

Wimborne Town kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

Crawley Town kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheets