Peterborough United vs Reading FC

Match details. FA Cup, 1/128-finals. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 21:00 Lagos time. It is played at ABAX Stadium, Peterborough.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Peterborough United have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L D. Reading FC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W L.

The numbers. Peterborough United score 1.8 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Peterborough United average 16.9 shots (4.4 on target), 7.1 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 53% of the ball. Reading FC score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Reading FC average 12.5 shots (3.9 on target), 6.2 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 46% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Peterborough United have won three, drawn three and lost four. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, Peterborough United won one, one was drawn and Reading FC won two. The last time they met, on 29 Dec 2025, it finished Peterborough United 1-1 Reading FC: Peterborough United had 20 shots to 3, 67% of the ball, five yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their xG points to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%; seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.

The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their xG points to an open game. Seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Peterborough United 1-2 Reading FC (8% chance).