Deportes La Serena vs CD Palestino
Match details. Primera Division, Regular Season - 27. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at La Portada, La Serena.
What's at stake. Deportes La Serena are 10th on 34 points after 26 games, 1 point behind Nublense, 1 point clear of Huachipato. A win would take them above Nublense. CD Palestino are 6th on 38 points after 26 games, 2 points behind Everton de Vina, 3 points clear of Coquimbo Unido. A win would take them above Everton de Vina. Deportes La Serena have nothing left to play for. CD Palestino have nothing left to play for.
Form. Deportes La Serena have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L W. CD Palestino have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L W.
The numbers. Deportes La Serena score 1.8 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Deportes La Serena average 12.4 shots (5.0 on target), 4.2 corners and 3.8 cards a game, with 48% of the ball. CD Palestino score 0.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. CD Palestino average 19.0 shots (5.4 on target), 4.8 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 62% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Deportes La Serena have won three, drawn two and lost four. Eight of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, CD Palestino won four. The last time they met, on 16 May 2026, it finished Deportes La Serena 1-5 CD Palestino: Deportes La Serena had 11 shots to 25, 56% of the ball, one yellow card.
Where it pulls both ways. Deportes La Serena are the form side, but the meetings favour CD Palestino: in the last nine meetings, Deportes La Serena won three, CD Palestino won four and two were drawn.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 71%. Eight of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.28, 76% on the records (Deportes La Serena: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; CD Palestino: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). Backup: CD Palestino Over 0.5 Goals at 1.33. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: Deportes La Serena 1-2 CD Palestino (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).