York City FC vs Northampton Town
Match details. FA Cup, 1/128-finals. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at York`s LNER Community Stadium.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. York City FC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D D. Northampton Town have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L W.
The numbers. York City FC score two and concede 0.8 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. York City FC average 11.9 shots (3.0 on target), 4.1 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 58% of the ball. Northampton Town score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Northampton Town average 13.1 shots (3.8 on target), 5.8 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 46% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings York City FC have won three, drawn three and lost three. Two of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, one was drawn and Northampton Town won three. The last time they met, on 10 Oct 2026, it finished York City FC 1-1 Northampton Town: York City FC had 13 shots to 14, 77% of the ball, three yellow cards.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their xG points to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 24%. Seven of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: York City FC 1-1 Northampton Town (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).