Salisbury FC vs Sholing FC
Match details. FA Cup, 1/128-finals. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Raymond McEnhill Stadium, Salisbury.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Salisbury FC have won eight, drawn two and lost none of their last ten, 2.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W W. Sholing FC have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L D W.
The numbers. Salisbury FC score three and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Salisbury FC average 13.3 shots (4.3 on target), 5.3 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Sholing FC score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. Sholing FC average 1.0 corners and 5.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last two meetings Salisbury FC have won one, drawn none and lost one. Two of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 27 Jan 2024, it finished Salisbury FC 3-0 Sholing FC.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 71% against the records' 49%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%.
The read. No firm call: Salisbury FC are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make Salisbury FC the likelier winners; Salisbury FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Salisbury FC.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Salisbury FC 1-1 Sholing FC (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).