Port Vale vs Scunthorpe United
Match details. FA Cup, 1/128-finals. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Vale Park, Stoke-On-Trent.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Port Vale have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D W. Scunthorpe United have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L. In this competition Scunthorpe United have gone W.
The numbers. Port Vale score 2.3 and concede 0.3 a game in their last six at home, with five clean sheets. Port Vale average 10.9 shots (4.4 on target), 4.2 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 45% of the ball. Scunthorpe United score one and concede 1.9 a game in their last seven away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Scunthorpe United average 10.1 shots (4.2 on target), 5.4 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Port Vale have won four, drawn one and lost five. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Port Vale won two and Scunthorpe United won two. The last time they met, on 29 Jan 2022, it finished Port Vale 1-0 Scunthorpe United: Port Vale had 8 shots to 5, 55% of the ball, two yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.
The case against. Scunthorpe United's record still gives them 23% to win.
The read. Port Vale to win. Their goals for and against make Port Vale the likelier winners; Port Vale are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Port Vale.
The bets. Best bet: Port Vale or Draw at 1.17, 77% on the records (Port Vale unbeaten in 6 of 6 at home; Scunthorpe United failed to win 5 of 7 away). Backup: Port Vale or Both Teams Score at 1.12. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: 1X2 - 2UP: Port Vale (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Port Vale 2-0 Scunthorpe United (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).