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ENGLAND - FA CUP
Newport County crestNCNEW
16:00Sat 7 Nov
WALWalsall FC crestWF

Newport County vs Walsall FC

CLASS D
THE READ

Match details. FA Cup, 1/128-finals. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Rodney Parade, Newport.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Newport County have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D D. Walsall FC have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D W.

The numbers. Newport County score 1.8 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Newport County average 15.4 shots (4.5 on target), 5.1 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 40% of the ball. Walsall FC score 1.7 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Walsall FC average 13.0 shots (4.6 on target), 5.1 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Newport County have won two, drawn four and lost four. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, one was drawn and Walsall FC won three. The last time they met, on 21 Mar 2026, it finished Newport County 1-2 Walsall FC: Newport County had 10 shots to 18, 44% of the ball, seven yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. Newport County are the form side, but the meetings favour Walsall FC: in the last ten meetings, Newport County won two, Walsall FC won four and four were drawn. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%; six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.

The read. A draw. Little separates them, and both sides draw often.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 3.5 Cards (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Newport County 1-1 Walsall FC (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.11
NEW 7 of 8 (88%) · WAL 7 of 8 (88%)86.7%
Newport County: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Walsall FC: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · H2H 4 of 6 · Newport County: only games against sides at Walsall FC's level · Walsall FC: only games against sides at Newport County's level
WALSALL FC GOALS
Walsall FC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.29
NEW 7 of 8 (88%) · WAL 5 of 8 (62%)75%
Walsall FC scored in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Newport County conceded in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 6 · Walsall FC: only games against sides at Newport County's level · Newport County: only games against sides at Walsall FC's level
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.24
NEW 5 of 8 (62%) · WAL 7 of 8 (88%)72.9%
Newport County: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Walsall FC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · Newport County: only games against sides at Walsall FC's level · Walsall FC: only games against sides at Newport County's level
Under 1.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.43
NEW 6 of 8 (75%) · WAL 6 of 8 (75%)68.8%
Newport County: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Walsall FC: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 3 of 6 · on half-time scores · Newport County: only games against sides at Walsall FC's level · Walsall FC: only games against sides at Newport County's level
Left off the list: Over 3.5 Cards (the numbers (49%) and the records (75%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.1%
Newport County goals →
Walsall FC goals ↓
0-08%
1-08%
2-06%
3-02%
4-00.8%
5-00.2%
0-19%
1-113%
2-18%
3-13%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-27%
1-29%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-33%
1-34%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-41%
1-41%
2-40.9%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.3%
1-50.4%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10
NEWPORT COUNTYDWWDWDDLWL1.60 PPG
WALSALL FCDWLDDWDWLW1.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
NEWPORT COUNTY HOMExWALSALL FC AWAY
1.30SCORED A GAME1.700.80CONCEDED A GAME1.6030%CLEAN SHEETS30%29%FAILED TO SCORE23%5.12CORNERS A GAME5.121.88CARDS A GAME1.881.36xG1.901.14xG AGAINST2.38
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.36POINTS A GAME1.69+0.29GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.69-2.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.71.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.614LEAGUE GAMES13
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
83%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
63%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
76%
NO · 85/90
NEWPORT COUNTY OR DRAW
90%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
WALSALL FC OR DRAW
79%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (14 and 13 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
NEWPORT COUNTYxWALSALL FC
7GAMES72.00SCORED A GAME1.570.86CONCEDED A GAME0.862.9GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.486%OVER 1.5 GOALS86%57%OVER 2.5 GOALS43%71%BOTH SCORE71%4.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.49.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES12.0
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
NEWPORT COUNTY 2 · 20%DRAW 4WALSALL FC 4 · 40%
6 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
8 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
6 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
3 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2021-09-18Newport County 2 – 1 Walsall FC
2022-01-01Newport County 3 – 3 Walsall FC
2022-08-06Newport County 0 – 1 Walsall FC
2023-02-18Newport County 1 – 1 Walsall FC
2023-10-20Newport County 3 – 3 Walsall FC
2024-02-10Newport County 3 – 0 Walsall FC
2024-12-29Newport County 0 – 2 Walsall FC
2025-04-21Newport County 0 – 0 Walsall FC
TRENDS
Newport County have scored in 70% of their games.
Walsall FC have scored in 90% of their games.
Newport County kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Walsall FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headteam newscornerscards
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