Match details. FA Cup, 1/128-finals. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadium MK, Milton Keynes.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Milton Keynes Dons have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W. Swindon Town have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W D L.
The numbers. Milton Keynes Dons score 3.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last seven at home, with no clean sheets. Milton Keynes Dons average 18.4 shots (6.5 on target), 6.1 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 51% of the ball. Swindon Town score 0.8 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and five games without a goal. Swindon Town average 12.2 shots (3.2 on target), 4.8 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Milton Keynes Dons have won seven, drawn one and lost two. Eight of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Milton Keynes Dons won two, one was drawn and Swindon Town won one. The last time they met, on 14 Mar 2026, it finished Milton Keynes Dons 2-1 Swindon Town: Milton Keynes Dons had 11 shots to 12, 46% of the ball, four yellow cards.
The case against. A knockout game (1/128-finals) with penalties if level, and Milton Keynes Dons are not clearly stronger.
The read. Milton Keynes Dons or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make Milton Keynes Dons the likelier winners; Milton Keynes Dons are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Milton Keynes Dons; the meetings favour Milton Keynes Dons. Their xG points to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%. Eight of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Milton Keynes Dons or Draw at 1.14, 82% on the records (Milton Keynes Dons unbeaten in 6 of 7 at home; Swindon Town failed to win 8 of 10). Backup: Milton Keynes Dons Over 0.5 Goals at 1.11. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: Milton Keynes Dons 2-1 Swindon Town (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Milton Keynes Dons or Over 1.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MIL 7 of 7 (100%) · SWI 9 of 10 (90%)90.8%
Milton Keynes Dons: the bet landed in 7 of 7 at home · Swindon Town: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 5 of 6 · the call is Milton Keynes Dons or the draw: a knockout game (1/128-finals) with penalties if level, and Milton Keynes Dons are not clearly stronger (rule 8)
Milton Keynes Dons or Both Teams ScoreTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.11
MIL 7 of 7 (100%) · SWI 9 of 10 (90%)85.4%
Milton Keynes Dons: the bet landed in 7 of 7 at home · Swindon Town: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 4 of 6 · the call is Milton Keynes Dons or the draw: a knockout game (1/128-finals) with penalties if level, and Milton Keynes Dons are not clearly stronger (rule 8)
Milton Keynes Dons or Under 2.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.15
MIL 6 of 7 (86%) · SWI 8 of 10 (80%)83.5%
Milton Keynes Dons: the bet landed in 6 of 7 at home · Swindon Town: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 5 of 6 · the call is Milton Keynes Dons or the draw: a knockout game (1/128-finals) with penalties if level, and Milton Keynes Dons are not clearly stronger (rule 8)
Double Chance: Milton Keynes Dons or DrawMAININ CODES
1.14
MIL 6 of 7 (86%) · SWI 8 of 10 (80%)82.3%
Milton Keynes Dons unbeaten in 6 of 7 at home · Swindon Town failed to win 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 5 of 6
Milton Keynes Dons or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.12
MIL 4 of 5 (80%) · SWI 6 of 7 (86%)81.9%
Milton Keynes Dons scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 6 of 7 at home · Swindon Town trailed or failed to win in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues)
2nd Half - Double Chance: Milton Keynes Dons or DrawPAGE ONLY
1.17
MIL 5 of 7 (71%) · SWI 10 of 10 (100%)80.8%
Milton Keynes Dons: the bet landed in 5 of 7 at home · Swindon Town: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores
Milton Keynes Dons or Over 2.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.22
MIL 6 of 7 (86%) · SWI 7 of 10 (70%)77.3%
Milton Keynes Dons: the bet landed in 6 of 7 at home · Swindon Town: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · H2H 5 of 6 · the call is Milton Keynes Dons or the draw: a knockout game (1/128-finals) with penalties if level, and Milton Keynes Dons are not clearly stronger (rule 8)
Milton Keynes Dons (Draw No Bet)IN CODES
1.26
MIL 5 of 6 (83%) · SWI 5 of 7 (71%)77%
Milton Keynes Dons won 5 of 6 at home (draws left out) · Swindon Town lost 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 73% · H2H 4 of 5 · won 7, refunded 2, lost 2
Milton Keynes Dons 1UPTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.30
MIL 4 of 5 (80%) · SWI 6 of 7 (86%)75.2%
Milton Keynes Dons scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 6 of 7 at home · Swindon Town trailed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · the call is Milton Keynes Dons or the draw: a knockout game (1/128-finals) with penalties if level, and Milton Keynes Dons are not clearly stronger (rule 8)
Milton Keynes Dons to Win Either Half: YesTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.26
MIL 6 of 7 (86%) · SWI 7 of 10 (70%)73.1%
Milton Keynes Dons: the bet landed in 6 of 7 at home · Swindon Town: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · the call is Milton Keynes Dons or the draw: a knockout game (1/128-finals) with penalties if level, and Milton Keynes Dons are not clearly stronger (rule 8)
2nd Half - Double Chance: Milton Keynes Dons or Swindon TownPAGE ONLY
1.36
MIL 6 of 7 (86%) · SWI 7 of 10 (70%)70.2%
Milton Keynes Dons: the bet landed in 6 of 7 at home · Swindon Town: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 3 of 6 · on half-time scores
2nd Half - Draw No Bet: Milton Keynes DonsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.30
MIL 4 of 6 (67%) · SWI 7 of 7 (100%)69%
Milton Keynes Dons: the bet landed in 4 of 6 at home · Swindon Town: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · H2H 1 of 3 · won 7, refunded 2, lost 2 · the call is Milton Keynes Dons or the draw: a knockout game (1/128-finals) with penalties if level, and Milton Keynes Dons are not clearly stronger (rule 8)
1X2 - 2UP: Milton Keynes DonsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.47
MIL 4 of 5 (80%) · SWI 5 of 7 (71%)67.1%
Milton Keynes Dons scored first 4 of last 5, led by 2 or won in 4 · led by 2 or won in 5 of 7 at home · Swindon Town trailed by 2 or lost in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · the call is Milton Keynes Dons or the draw: a knockout game (1/128-finals) with penalties if level, and Milton Keynes Dons are not clearly stronger (rule 8)
Milton Keynes Dons to WinTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.58
MIL 5 of 7 (71%) · SWI 5 of 10 (50%)60.8%
Milton Keynes Dons won 5 of 7 at home · Swindon Town lost 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 55% · H2H 4 of 6 · the call is Milton Keynes Dons or the draw: a knockout game (1/128-finals) with penalties if level, and Milton Keynes Dons are not clearly stronger (rule 8)
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.18
MIL 7 of 7 (100%) · SWI 6 of 10 (60%)74.2%
Milton Keynes Dons: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 7 at home · Swindon Town: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · H2H 4 of 6
Under 4.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.22
MIL 2 of 7 (29%) · SWI 10 of 10 (100%)69%
Milton Keynes Dons: under 4.5 goals in 2 of 7 at home · Swindon Town: under 4.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 6 of 6
MILTON KEYNES DONS GOALS
Milton Keynes Dons Over 0.5 goalsBACKUPIN CODES
1.11
MIL 7 of 7 (100%) · SWI 9 of 10 (90%)85.4%
Milton Keynes Dons scored in 7 of 7 at home · Swindon Town conceded in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 4 of 6
SWINDON TOWN GOALS
Swindon Town Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES
1.32
MIL 8 of 10 (80%) · SWI 6 of 7 (86%)82.3%
Swindon Town scored under 1.5 in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Milton Keynes Dons conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 7 at home · both last 10: 80% · H2H 5 of 6
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.18
MIL 7 of 7 (100%) · SWI 8 of 10 (80%)82.9%
Milton Keynes Dons: the bet landed in 7 of 7 at home · Swindon Town: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.7%
Milton Keynes Dons goals →
Swindon Town goals ↓
0-04%
1-07%
2-08%
3-06%
4-03%
5-02%
0-13%
1-19%
2-110%
3-17%
4-14%
5-12%
0-22%
1-25%
2-26%
3-24%
4-22%
5-21%
0-30.9%
1-32%
2-32%
3-32%
4-30.9%
5-30.4%
0-40.3%
1-40.6%
2-40.6%
3-40.5%
4-40.3%
5-40.1%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
MILTON KEYNES DONSDDWWLWLWWW2.00 PPG
SWINDON TOWNLLLDLLDWDW0.90 PPG
THE NUMBERS
MILTON KEYNES DONS HOMExSWINDON TOWN AWAY
2.60SCORED A GAME0.801.30CONCEDED A GAME1.1020%CLEAN SHEETS10%23%FAILED TO SCORE50%6.12CORNERS A GAME4.751.62CARDS A GAME1.621.85xG1.511.33xG AGAINST2.04
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.45POINTS A GAME1.36+0.18GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.14-0.1SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.82.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.611LEAGUE GAMES14
Milton Keynes Dons: the quality side - better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
63%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
54%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
92%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
MILTON KEYNES DONS OR DRAW
86%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
SWINDON TOWN OR DRAW
44%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 14 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
MILTON KEYNES DONSxSWINDON TOWN
6GAMES72.33SCORED A GAME0.431.50CONCEDED A GAME1.433.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.983%OVER 1.5 GOALS43%67%OVER 2.5 GOALS43%83%BOTH SCORE14%3.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES2.311.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES13.3
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.