Mansfield Town vs Macclesfield FC
Match details. FA Cup, 1/128-finals. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Field Mill, Mansfield.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Mansfield Town have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W D. Macclesfield FC have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D W.
The numbers. Mansfield Town score 1.2 and concede one a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and five games without a goal. Mansfield Town average 14.6 shots (4.4 on target), 6.2 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 53% of the ball. Macclesfield FC score two and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Macclesfield FC average 9.2 shots (4.8 on target), 3.7 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last five meetings Mansfield Town have won three, drawn two and lost none. Three of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Mansfield Town won two and two were drawn. The last time they met, on 16 Nov 2019, it finished Mansfield Town 0-0 Macclesfield FC: Mansfield Town had 5 shots to 13, 53% of the ball, four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 19% against the records' 40%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%; three of the last five meetings went over 2.5.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Mansfield Town 1-1 Macclesfield FC (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).