Guiseley FC vs Sutton United
Match details. FA Cup, 1/128-finals. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Nethermoor Park, Guiseley.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Guiseley FC have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W. Sutton United have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W W. In this competition Sutton United have gone W.
The numbers. Guiseley FC score 2.2 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Guiseley FC average 11.8 shots (5.5 on target), 5.5 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Sutton United score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Sutton United average 7.6 shots (3.2 on target), 4.4 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last four meetings Guiseley FC have won one, drawn none and lost three. Two of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 24 Feb 2018, it finished Guiseley FC 0-4 Sutton United.
Where it pulls both ways. Guiseley FC are the form side, but the meetings favour Sutton United: in the last four meetings, Guiseley FC won one and Sutton United won three.
The read. No side to back. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Guiseley FC 1-1 Sutton United (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).