Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale AFC
Match details. FA Cup, 1/128-finals. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Highbury Stadium, Fleetwood.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Fleetwood Town have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W D. Rochdale AFC have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D L.
The numbers. Fleetwood Town score 2.2 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Fleetwood Town average 15.2 shots (5.1 on target), 5.1 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 49% of the ball. Rochdale AFC score 1.4 and concede 2.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Rochdale AFC average 10.8 shots (2.9 on target), 5.6 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Fleetwood Town have won three, drawn two and lost three. Five of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Fleetwood Town won two and Rochdale AFC won two. The last time they met, on 26 Sep 2026, it finished Fleetwood Town 1-2 Rochdale AFC: Fleetwood Town had 21 shots to 12, 54% of the ball, one yellow card.
Where it pulls both ways. Fleetwood Town are the form side, but the meetings favour Rochdale AFC: in the last eight meetings, Fleetwood Town won three, Rochdale AFC won three and two were drawn.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%. Five of the last eight meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Fleetwood Town 2-1 Rochdale AFC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).