DADOV

16:00Sat 7 Nov

WEA

Dover Athletic FC vs Wealdstone FC

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. FA Cup, 1/128-finals. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Crabble Athletic Ground, River.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Dover Athletic FC have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W D. Wealdstone FC have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W W. In this competition Wealdstone FC have gone W.

The numbers. Dover Athletic FC score 1.8 and concede one a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. Dover Athletic FC average 10.3 shots (3.0 on target), 4.7 corners and 1.0 cards a game. Wealdstone FC score 1.7 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Wealdstone FC average 9.4 shots (3.2 on target), 4.6 corners and 3.6 cards a game.

Head to head. Wealdstone FC have won all of the last two meetings. Two of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 15 Jan 2022, it finished Dover Athletic FC 1-2 Wealdstone FC.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 29% against the records' 54%.

The read. No firm call: Dover Athletic FC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Dover Athletic FC the likelier winners; Dover Athletic FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Dover Athletic FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 51%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Dover Athletic FC 2-1 Wealdstone FC (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Dover Athletic FC or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES

1.27

DOV 5 of 6 (83%) · WEA 6 of 10 (60%)72.8%

Dover Athletic FC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · Wealdstone FC: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.11

DOV 5 of 6 (83%) · WEA 9 of 10 (90%)87.8%

Dover Athletic FC: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home · Wealdstone FC: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90%

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.18

DOV 4 of 6 (67%) · WEA 8 of 10 (80%)72.2%

Dover Athletic FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 at home · Wealdstone FC: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70%

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.27

DOV 4 of 6 (67%) · WEA 7 of 10 (70%)70.6%

Dover Athletic FC: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 6 at home · Wealdstone FC: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%

DOVER ATHLETIC FC GOALS

Dover Athletic FC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.27

DOV 5 of 6 (83%) · WEA 6 of 10 (60%)72.8%

Dover Athletic FC scored in 5 of 6 at home · Wealdstone FC conceded in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%

WEALDSTONE FC GOALS

Wealdstone FC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.17

DOV 9 of 10 (90%) · WEA 4 of 6 (67%)77.2%

Wealdstone FC scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Dover Athletic FC conceded in 4 of 6 at home · both last 10: 75%

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.30

DOV 5 of 7 (71%) · WEA 7 of 10 (70%)70.7%

Dover Athletic FC: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Wealdstone FC: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · on half-time scores

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.2%

Dover Athletic FC goals →

Wealdstone FC goals ↓

0-05%

1-07%

2-07%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.6%

0-16%

1-111%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.8%

0-24%

1-27%

2-26%

3-24%

4-22%

5-20.5%

0-32%

1-33%

2-33%

3-32%

4-30.7%

5-30.2%

0-40.7%

1-41%

2-41.0%

3-40.6%

4-40.2%

5-40.1%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.3%

3-50.2%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

DOVER ATHLETIC FCWWWWWDWDLW2.30 PPG

WEALDSTONE FCLWDLLWWWLW1.60 PPG

THE NUMBERS

DOVER ATHLETIC FC HOMExWEALDSTONE FC AWAY

1.60SCORED A GAME1.700.80CONCEDED A GAME1.6040%CLEAN SHEETS40%0%FAILED TO SCORE19%4.67CORNERS A GAME4.621.00CARDS A GAME3.62

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.57POINTS A GAME1.12+0.07GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.38–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.41.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.214LEAGUE GAMES16

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

69%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

45%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

75%

NO · 85/90

DOVER ATHLETIC FC OR DRAW

62%

NO · 80/85

WEALDSTONE FC OR DRAW

64%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (14 and 16 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

DOVER ATHLETIC FCxWEALDSTONE FC

8GAMES81.50SCORED A GAME1.381.50CONCEDED A GAME1.123.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.562%OVER 1.5 GOALS75%38%OVER 2.5 GOALS50%38%BOTH SCORE62%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.7–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.7

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2

DOVER ATHLETIC FC 0 · 0%DRAW 0WEALDSTONE FC 2 · 100%

2021-11-23Dover Athletic FC 2 – 3 Wealdstone FC

2022-01-15Dover Athletic FC 1 – 2 Wealdstone FC

TRENDS

Dover Athletic FC have scored in 90% of their games.

Wealdstone FC have scored in 90% of their games.

Dover Athletic FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

Wealdstone FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headcornerscards