Chesterfield FC vs Yeovil Town
Match details. FA Cup, 1/128-finals. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Proact Stadium, Chesterfield.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Chesterfield FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L D. Yeovil Town have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W D. In this competition Yeovil Town have gone W D.
The numbers. Chesterfield FC score 3.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Chesterfield FC average 19.1 shots (6.2 on target), 7.5 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 63% of the ball. Yeovil Town score 2.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Yeovil Town average 9.8 shots (5.0 on target), 5.9 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Chesterfield FC have won five, drawn two and lost two. Five of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Chesterfield FC won two and two were drawn. The last time they met, on 11 Mar 2023, it finished Chesterfield FC 1-1 Yeovil Town.
Where it pulls both ways. Yeovil Town are the form side, but the meetings favour Chesterfield FC: in the last nine meetings, Chesterfield FC won five, Yeovil Town won two and two were drawn.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%. Five of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Chesterfield FC 2-1 Yeovil Town (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).