CTCHE

16:00Sat 7 Nov

FCH

Cheltenham Town vs FC Halifax Town

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. FA Cup, 1/128-finals. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Whaddon Road, Cheltenham, a neutral ground.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Cheltenham Town have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L L. FC Halifax Town have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D W. In this competition FC Halifax Town have gone W.

The numbers. Cheltenham Town score 1.5 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Cheltenham Town average 8.2 shots (2.2 on target), 4.1 corners and 3.5 cards a game, with 50% of the ball. FC Halifax Town score 2.4 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. FC Halifax Town average 10.9 shots (4.4 on target), 4.5 corners and 2.2 cards a game.

Head to head. Cheltenham Town have won all of the last two meetings. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 16 Apr 2016, it finished Cheltenham Town 2-0 FC Halifax Town.

The case against. A knockout game (1/128-finals) with penalties if level, and FC Halifax Town are not clearly stronger. Cheltenham Town's record still gives them 35% to win.

The read. FC Halifax Town or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make FC Halifax Town the likelier winners; FC Halifax Town are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Halifax Town. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Cheltenham Town 1-2 FC Halifax Town (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

FC Halifax Town or Over 1.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CHE 10 of 10 (100%) · FCH 9 of 10 (90%)95%

FC Halifax Town: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Cheltenham Town: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · the call is FC Halifax Town or the draw: a knockout game (1/128-finals) with penalties if level, and FC Halifax Town are not clearly stronger (rule 8)

FC Halifax Town or Over 2.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

1.39

CHE 9 of 10 (90%) · FCH 8 of 10 (80%)85%

FC Halifax Town: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Cheltenham Town: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · the call is FC Halifax Town or the draw: a knockout game (1/128-finals) with penalties if level, and FC Halifax Town are not clearly stronger (rule 8)

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.17

CHE 9 of 10 (90%) · FCH 10 of 10 (100%)95%

Cheltenham Town: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Halifax Town: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95%

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.55

CHE 6 of 10 (60%) · FCH 7 of 10 (70%)65%

Cheltenham Town: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Halifax Town: over 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65%

Under 4.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.21

CHE 8 of 10 (80%) · FCH 5 of 10 (50%)65%

Cheltenham Town: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Halifax Town: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65%

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesPAGE ONLY

1.61

CHE 7 of 10 (70%) · FCH 8 of 10 (80%)75%

Cheltenham Town: both scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Halifax Town: both scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%

CHELTENHAM TOWN GOALS

Cheltenham Town Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.11

CHE 8 of 10 (80%) · FCH 8 of 10 (80%)80%

Cheltenham Town scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Halifax Town conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.18

CHE 8 of 10 (80%) · FCH 9 of 10 (90%)85%

Cheltenham Town: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Halifax Town: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.28

CHE 7 of 10 (70%) · FCH 8 of 10 (80%)75%

Cheltenham Town: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Halifax Town: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 8.4%

Cheltenham Town goals →

FC Halifax Town goals ↓

0-02%

1-03%

2-03%

3-01%

4-00.6%

5-00.2%

0-14%

1-18%

2-16%

3-13%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-25%

1-28%

2-27%

3-24%

4-22%

5-20.5%

0-34%

1-36%

2-35%

3-33%

4-31%

5-30.4%

0-42%

1-44%

2-43%

3-42%

4-40.7%

5-40.2%

0-51%

1-52%

2-51%

3-50.8%

4-50.3%

5-50.1%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

CHELTENHAM TOWNDWDWLLLWWL1.40 PPG

FC HALIFAX TOWNLDWWWWDLWL1.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CHELTENHAM TOWN HOMExFC HALIFAX TOWN AWAY

1.50SCORED A GAME2.401.80CONCEDED A GAME1.7010%CLEAN SHEETS20%14%FAILED TO SCORE6%4.12CORNERS A GAME4.503.50CARDS A GAME2.25

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.50POINTS A GAME1.50-0.14GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.44-2.3SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+2.31.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.014LEAGUE GAMES16

FC Halifax Town: the quality side - more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

90%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

58%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

73%

NO · 85/90

CHELTENHAM TOWN OR DRAW

82%

OKAY · 80/85

FC HALIFAX TOWN OR DRAW

23%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (14 and 16 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

CHELTENHAM TOWNxFC HALIFAX TOWN

7GAMES72.00SCORED A GAME1.291.14CONCEDED A GAME1.573.1GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.986%OVER 1.5 GOALS86%57%OVER 2.5 GOALS57%57%BOTH SCORE57%4.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.010.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES7.2

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2

CHELTENHAM TOWN 2 · 100%DRAW 0FC HALIFAX TOWN 0 · 0%

2015-10-03Cheltenham Town 7 – 1 FC Halifax Town

2016-04-16Cheltenham Town 2 – 0 FC Halifax Town

TRENDS

Cheltenham Town have scored in 80% of their games.

FC Halifax Town have scored in 100% of their games.

Cheltenham Town kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

FC Halifax Town kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headcornerscards