Carlisle United vs Salford City

Match details. FA Cup, 1/128-finals. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Brunton Park, Carlisle.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Carlisle United have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W D. In this competition Carlisle United have gone W. Salford City have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W.

The numbers. Carlisle United score 1.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Carlisle United average 13.3 shots (5.9 on target), 6.3 corners and 2.7 cards a game. Salford City score three and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Salford City average 14.8 shots (5.1 on target), 5.4 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last eight meetings Carlisle United have won four, drawn two and lost two. Six of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, Carlisle United won two, one was drawn and Salford City won one. The last time they met, on 3 May 2025, it finished Carlisle United 2-2 Salford City: Carlisle United had 8 shots to 16, 56% of the ball, two yellow cards.

The case against. A knockout game (1/128-finals) with penalties if level, and Salford City are not clearly stronger. Carlisle United's record still gives them 31% to win.

The read. Salford City or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make Salford City the likelier winners; Salford City are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Salford City. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 72%. Six of the last eight meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Carlisle United 1-2 Salford City (9% chance).