Bradford City FC vs Marine FC
Match details. FA Cup, 1/128-finals. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Valley Parade, Bradford.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Bradford City FC have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D W. Marine FC have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W W.
The numbers. Bradford City FC score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Bradford City FC average 14.1 shots (3.9 on target), 8.1 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 55% of the ball. Marine FC score 1.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Marine FC average 9.8 shots (4.0 on target), 5.8 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 79% against the records' 53%.
The read. No firm call: Bradford City FC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Bradford City FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Bradford City FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Bradford City FC 2-1 Marine FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).