BFBAR

16:00Sat 7 Nov

ALD

Barnsley FC vs Aldershot Town FC

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. FA Cup, 1/128-finals. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Oakwell Ground, Barnsley.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Barnsley FC have won none, drawn two and lost eight of their last ten, 0.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L L. Aldershot Town FC have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L W. In this competition Aldershot Town FC have gone W D.

The numbers. Barnsley FC score 1.4 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Barnsley FC average 17.2 shots (5.4 on target), 7.0 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 46% of the ball. Aldershot Town FC score 1.3 and concede 2.1 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Aldershot Town FC average 8.9 shots (3.9 on target), 5.4 corners and 2.3 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 11% against the records' 48%.

The read. No firm call: Aldershot Town FC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Aldershot Town FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Aldershot Town FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Barnsley FC 1-2 Aldershot Town FC (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Aldershot Town FC or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BAR 9 of 10 (90%) · ALD 5 of 5 (100%)95%

Aldershot Town FC: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Barnsley FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 95%

Aldershot Town FC or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.30

BAR 8 of 10 (80%) · ALD 3 of 5 (60%)73.3%

Aldershot Town FC: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Barnsley FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80%

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.14

BAR 5 of 5 (100%) · ALD 8 of 10 (80%)90%

Barnsley FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Aldershot Town FC: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90%

Under 5.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.14

BAR 3 of 5 (60%) · ALD 9 of 10 (90%)78.3%

Barnsley FC: under 5.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Aldershot Town FC: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.35

BAR 3 of 5 (60%) · ALD 8 of 10 (80%)71.7%

Barnsley FC: under 4.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Aldershot Town FC: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.44

BAR 3 of 5 (60%) · ALD 6 of 10 (60%)63.3%

Barnsley FC: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Aldershot Town FC: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70%

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesPAGE ONLY

1.71

BAR 5 of 5 (100%) · ALD 5 of 10 (50%)73.3%

Barnsley FC: both scored in 5 of 5 at home · Aldershot Town FC: both scored in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70%

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.23

BAR 5 of 5 (100%) · ALD 9 of 10 (90%)93.3%

Barnsley FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Aldershot Town FC: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.13

BAR 5 of 5 (100%) · ALD 7 of 10 (70%)85%

Barnsley FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Aldershot Town FC: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 8%

Barnsley FC goals →

Aldershot Town FC goals ↓

0-03%

1-04%

2-04%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-14%

1-19%

2-18%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.8%

0-24%

1-28%

2-27%

3-24%

4-22%

5-20.7%

0-33%

1-35%

2-34%

3-33%

4-31%

5-30.4%

0-41%

1-42%

2-42%

3-41%

4-40.5%

5-40.2%

0-50.4%

1-50.8%

2-50.7%

3-50.4%

4-50.2%

5-50.1%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

BARNSLEY FCLLDLLLLLLD0.20 PPG

ALDERSHOT TOWN FCLLLWDWLLWL1.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

BARNSLEY FC HOMExALDERSHOT TOWN FC AWAY

1.10SCORED A GAME1.302.70CONCEDED A GAME2.100%CLEAN SHEETS20%25%FAILED TO SCORE25%7.00CORNERS A GAME5.432.50CARDS A GAME2.29

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

718 OF 767

NO PRICE YET

The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

0.75POINTS A GAME1.31-0.83GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.06-1.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.70.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.612LEAGUE GAMES16

Aldershot Town FC: the quality side - a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

96%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

86%

VERY GOOD · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

26%

NO · 85/90

BARNSLEY FC OR DRAW

63%

NO · 80/85

ALDERSHOT TOWN FC OR DRAW

69%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (12 and 16 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

BARNSLEY FCxALDERSHOT TOWN FC

6GAMES81.00SCORED A GAME0.881.83CONCEDED A GAME1.382.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.283%OVER 1.5 GOALS75%50%OVER 2.5 GOALS38%83%BOTH SCORE62%6.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.717.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.2

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Barnsley FC have scored in 90% of their games.

Aldershot Town FC have scored in 80% of their games.

Barnsley FC kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.

Aldershot Town FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetsteam newscornerscards