Match details. FA Cup, 1/128-finals. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at The Crown Ground, Accrington.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Accrington Stanley have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W D. Wycombe Wanderers have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D W L.
The numbers. Accrington Stanley score 1.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Accrington Stanley average 16.1 shots (5.0 on target), 6.5 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 48% of the ball. Wycombe Wanderers score two and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Wycombe Wanderers average 14.8 shots (4.6 on target), 5.8 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 54% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Accrington Stanley have won four, drawn one and lost four. Five of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Accrington Stanley won one and Wycombe Wanderers won three. The last time they met, on 14 Feb 2023, it finished Accrington Stanley 0-2 Wycombe Wanderers: Accrington Stanley had 22 shots to 14, 50% of the ball, three yellow cards.
The case against. A knockout game (1/128-finals) with penalties if level, and Wycombe Wanderers are not clearly stronger. Accrington Stanley's record still gives them 32% to win.
The read. Wycombe Wanderers or the draw. An open game. Wycombe Wanderers are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Wycombe Wanderers. Their xG points to an open game. Five of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Accrington Stanley 1-2 Wycombe Wanderers (8% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Wycombe Wanderers or Over 1.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ACC 10 of 10 (100%) · WYC 4 of 5 (80%)92.5%
Wycombe Wanderers: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Accrington Stanley: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 90% · H2H 6 of 6 · the call is Wycombe Wanderers or the draw: a knockout game (1/128-finals) with penalties if level, and Wycombe Wanderers are not clearly stronger (rule 8)
Wycombe Wanderers win or both teams scoreTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.15
ACC 10 of 10 (100%) · WYC 3 of 5 (60%)85%
Wycombe Wanderers: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Accrington Stanley: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · H2H 6 of 6 · the call is Wycombe Wanderers or the draw: a knockout game (1/128-finals) with penalties if level, and Wycombe Wanderers are not clearly stronger (rule 8)
Wycombe Wanderers or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.18
ACC 4 of 5 (80%) · WYC 9 of 10 (90%)78.9%
Wycombe Wanderers scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Accrington Stanley trailed or failed to win in 4 of 6 at home
Wycombe Wanderers or Over 2.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.29
ACC 9 of 10 (90%) · WYC 2 of 5 (40%)69.6%
Wycombe Wanderers: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Accrington Stanley: the bet landed in 2 of 5 at home · both last 10: 65% · H2H 5 of 6 · the call is Wycombe Wanderers or the draw: a knockout game (1/128-finals) with penalties if level, and Wycombe Wanderers are not clearly stronger (rule 8)
Wycombe Wanderers or Under 2.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.29
ACC 7 of 10 (70%) · WYC 3 of 5 (60%)66.7%
Wycombe Wanderers: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Accrington Stanley: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 70% · H2H 4 of 6 · the call is Wycombe Wanderers or the draw: a knockout game (1/128-finals) with penalties if level, and Wycombe Wanderers are not clearly stronger (rule 8)
Wycombe Wanderers (Draw No Bet)SETTLEDPAGE ONLY
1.44
ACC 6 of 7 (86%) · WYC 1 of 5 (20%)54.6%
Wycombe Wanderers won 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Accrington Stanley lost 1 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 53% · H2H 3 of 5 · won 2, refunded 4, lost 3 · rule 2: the meetings back Wycombe Wanderers: in the last 9 meetings, Accrington Stanley won 4, Wycombe Wanderers won 4 and 1 was drawn; in the last 4, Accrington Stanley won 1 and Wycombe Wanderers
Wycombe Wanderers 1UPTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.43
ACC 3 of 5 (60%) · WYC 7 of 10 (70%)54.4%
Wycombe Wanderers scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Accrington Stanley trailed in 2 of 6 at home · the call is Wycombe Wanderers or the draw: a knockout game (1/128-finals) with penalties if level, and Wycombe Wanderers are not clearly stronger (rule 8)
Wycombe Wanderers or draw and over 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.50
ACC 1 of 5 (20%) · WYC 8 of 10 (80%)52.5%
Accrington Stanley: the bet landed in 1 of 5 at home · Wycombe Wanderers: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · H2H 3 of 6
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.20
ACC 4 of 5 (80%) · WYC 9 of 10 (90%)84.6%
Accrington Stanley: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Wycombe Wanderers: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 5 of 6
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.19
ACC 4 of 5 (80%) · WYC 7 of 10 (70%)77.1%
Accrington Stanley: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Wycombe Wanderers: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 5 of 6
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.59
ACC 3 of 5 (60%) · WYC 7 of 10 (70%)65.4%
Accrington Stanley: both scored in 3 of 5 at home · Wycombe Wanderers: both scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · H2H 4 of 6
ACCRINGTON STANLEY GOALS
Accrington Stanley Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.34
ACC 4 of 5 (80%) · WYC 7 of 10 (70%)72.9%
Accrington Stanley scored in 4 of 5 at home · Wycombe Wanderers conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 6
Accrington Stanley Under 1.5 goalsSETTLEDPAGE ONLY
1.50
ACC 2 of 5 (40%) · WYC 6 of 10 (60%)56.7%
Accrington Stanley scored under 1.5 in 2 of 5 at home · Wycombe Wanderers conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · H2H 4 of 6 · rule 1: it landed in 6 of the last 9 meetings
WYCOMBE WANDERERS GOALS
Wycombe Wanderers Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.15
ACC 10 of 10 (100%) · WYC 3 of 5 (60%)85%
Wycombe Wanderers scored in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Accrington Stanley conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · H2H 6 of 6
HALVES
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.31
ACC 3 of 5 (60%) · WYC 7 of 10 (70%)73.8%
Accrington Stanley: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Wycombe Wanderers: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores
CARDS
Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ACC 7 of 8 (88%) · WYC 6 of 8 (75%)81.3%
Accrington Stanley's games: over 2.5 cards in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Wycombe Wanderers's games: over 2.5 cards in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81%
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–27.9%
Accrington Stanley goals →
Wycombe Wanderers goals ↓
0-03%
1-05%
2-05%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.5%
0-15%
1-110%
2-18%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.8%
0-24%
1-28%
2-27%
3-24%
4-22%
5-20.7%
0-33%
1-35%
2-34%
3-32%
4-31%
5-30.4%
0-41%
1-42%
2-42%
3-41%
4-40.5%
5-40.2%
0-50.4%
1-50.7%
2-50.6%
3-50.4%
4-50.2%
5-50.1%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
ACCRINGTON STANLEYWLDDWDWDWD1.70 PPG
WYCOMBE WANDERERSWWWDWLWDDW2.10 PPG
THE NUMBERS
ACCRINGTON STANLEY HOMExWYCOMBE WANDERERS AWAY
1.70SCORED A GAME2.000.80CONCEDED A GAME1.3040%CLEAN SHEETS30%21%FAILED TO SCORE0%6.50CORNERS A GAME5.752.25CARDS A GAME1.251.98xG1.540.72xG AGAINST1.17
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.36POINTS A GAME1.38+0.43GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.15+2.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.51.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.614LEAGUE GAMES13
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
92%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
54%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
59%
NO · 85/90
ACCRINGTON STANLEY OR DRAW
90%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
WYCOMBE WANDERERS OR DRAW
73%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (14 and 13 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
ACCRINGTON STANLEYxWYCOMBE WANDERERS
7GAMES61.86SCORED A GAME1.501.14CONCEDED A GAME1.833.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.386%OVER 1.5 GOALS83%57%OVER 2.5 GOALS50%71%BOTH SCORE83%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9
ACCRINGTON STANLEY 4 · 44%DRAW 1WYCOMBE WANDERERS 4 · 44%
5 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED
7 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS
5 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS
3 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS
2017-11-21Accrington Stanley 1 – 0 Wycombe Wanderers
2018-04-21Accrington Stanley 4 – 0 Wycombe Wanderers
2018-11-27Accrington Stanley 1 – 2 Wycombe Wanderers
2019-03-12Accrington Stanley 3 – 1 Wycombe Wanderers
2019-09-17Accrington Stanley 1 – 1 Wycombe Wanderers
2021-08-07Accrington Stanley 1 – 2 Wycombe Wanderers
2022-02-26Accrington Stanley 3 – 2 Wycombe Wanderers
2022-09-13Accrington Stanley 0 – 1 Wycombe Wanderers
TRENDS
Accrington Stanley have scored in 80% of their games.
Wycombe Wanderers have scored in 100% of their games.
Accrington Stanley kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Wycombe Wanderers kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headteam newscornerscards