Match details. Allsvenskan. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 17:30 Lagos time.
Form. Orgryte IS have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W L. Vasteraas SK have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W L.
The numbers. Orgryte IS score 1.2 and concede two a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Orgryte IS average 3.8 corners and 1.4 cards a game. Vasteraas SK score 1.5 and concede 0.6 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and three games without a goal. Vasteraas SK average 4.7 corners and 1.4 cards a game.
The case against. Orgryte IS's record still gives them 21% to win.
The read. Vasteraas SK to win. An open game. Vasteraas SK are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Vasteraas SK. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.21, 75% on the records (Orgryte IS: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 9; Vasteraas SK: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 10). Full cover: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.17. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Predicted score: Orgryte IS 1-2 Vasteraas SK (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).