Match details. Pro League, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 20:45 Lagos time. It is played at Bosuilstadion, Deurne.
What's at stake. Royal Antwerp FC are 11th on 10 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Zulte Waregem, level on points with SK Beveren. A win would take them above Zulte Waregem. Lommel SK are 7th on 15 points after 10 games, level on points with Genk, 1 point clear of KVC Westerlo. A win would take them above Genk.
Form. Royal Antwerp FC have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L L. Lommel SK have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W W.
The numbers. Royal Antwerp FC score 1.5 and concede 2.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Royal Antwerp FC average 13.2 shots (4.4 on target), 4.7 corners and 3.2 cards a game, with 48% of the ball. Lommel SK score 1.5 and concede two a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets. Lommel SK average 12.6 shots (4.1 on target), 3.8 corners and 1.1 cards a game, with 49% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last four meetings Royal Antwerp FC have won two, drawn one and lost one. One of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 26 Feb 2017, it finished Royal Antwerp FC 1-0 Lommel SK.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 27% against the records' 54%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%; three of the last four meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No firm call: Lommel SK are the better side, but not at this price. Lommel SK are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Lommel SK.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Royal Antwerp FC 1-1 Lommel SK (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).