PORTUGAL - LIGA PORTUGAL
19:00Sat 7 Nov
CAS
CP
Alverca Futebol vs Casa Pia Lisbon
CLASS A
THE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
79
1UP
Class A
Alverca Futebol 1UP
Alverca Futebol v Casa Pia Lisbon
1.36odds
74%book
+5edge
—angles
THE READ
Match details. Liga Portugal. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. Alverca Futebol have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W W. Casa Pia Lisbon have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L W.
The numbers. Alverca Futebol score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Alverca Futebol average 9.2 shots (3.6 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.6 cards a game. Casa Pia Lisbon score one and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Casa Pia Lisbon average 4.0 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
The case against. Casa Pia Lisbon's record still gives them 32% to win.
The read. Alverca Futebol to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Alverca Futebol the likelier winners; Alverca Futebol are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Alverca Futebol. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 39%.
The bets. Best bet: Alverca Futebol 1UP at 1.36, 79% on the records (Alverca Futebol scored first 3 of last 5, led in 4; led in 4 of 5 at home). Predicted score: Alverca Futebol 1-0 Casa Pia Lisbon (11% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Alverca Futebol or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALV 4 of 5 (80%) · CAS 8 of 9 (89%)89.4%
Alverca Futebol: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Casa Pia Lisbon: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · Alverca Futebol: only games against sides at Casa Pia Lisbon's level · Casa Pia Lisbon: only games against sides at Alverca Futebol's level
Alverca Futebol or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES
1.15
ALV 4 of 5 (80%) · CAS 7 of 9 (78%)83.9%
Alverca Futebol: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Casa Pia Lisbon: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · Alverca Futebol: only games against sides at Casa Pia Lisbon's level · Casa Pia Lisbon: only games against sides at Alverca Futebol's level
Alverca Futebol or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.14
ALV 4 of 5 (80%) · CAS 4 of 5 (80%)83%
Alverca Futebol scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home · Casa Pia Lisbon trailed or failed to win in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Alverca Futebol: only games against sides at Casa Pia Lisbon's level · Casa Pia Lisbon: only games against sides at Alverca Futebol's level
Alverca Futebol 1UPMAININ CODES
1.36
ALV 4 of 5 (80%) · CAS 4 of 5 (80%)79.3%
Alverca Futebol scored first 3 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 4 of 5 at home · Casa Pia Lisbon trailed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Alverca Futebol: only games against sides at Casa Pia Lisbon's level · Casa Pia Lisbon: only games against sides at Alverca Futebol's level
Alverca Futebol (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY
1.30
ALV 3 of 7 (43%) · CAS 6 of 8 (75%)76.9%
Alverca Futebol won 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Casa Pia Lisbon lost 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 59% · Alverca Futebol: only games against sides at Casa Pia Lisbon's level · Casa Pia Lisbon: only games against sides at Alverca Futebol's level · won 2, refunded 3, lost 5
Alverca Futebol or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.13
ALV 3 of 5 (60%) · CAS 8 of 9 (89%)69.2%
Alverca Futebol: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Casa Pia Lisbon: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · Alverca Futebol: only games against sides at Casa Pia Lisbon's level · Casa Pia Lisbon: only games against sides at Alverca Futebol's level
Alverca Futebol or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANIN CODES
1.35
ALV 3 of 5 (60%) · CAS 7 of 9 (78%)65%
Alverca Futebol: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Casa Pia Lisbon: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · Alverca Futebol: only games against sides at Casa Pia Lisbon's level · Casa Pia Lisbon: only games against sides at Alverca Futebol's level
Alverca Futebol to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
1.71
ALV 1 of 5 (20%) · CAS 6 of 9 (67%)50.8%
Alverca Futebol won 1 of 5 at home · Casa Pia Lisbon lost 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 50% · Alverca Futebol: only games against sides at Casa Pia Lisbon's level · Casa Pia Lisbon: only games against sides at Alverca Futebol's level
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.12
ALV 5 of 5 (100%) · CAS 7 of 9 (78%)90.8%
Alverca Futebol: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Casa Pia Lisbon: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Alverca Futebol: only games against sides at Casa Pia Lisbon's level · Casa Pia Lisbon: only games against sides at Alverca Futebol's level
ALVERCA FUTEBOL GOALS
Alverca Futebol Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.16
ALV 4 of 5 (80%) · CAS 7 of 9 (78%)85%
Alverca Futebol scored in 4 of 5 at home · Casa Pia Lisbon conceded in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · Alverca Futebol: only games against sides at Casa Pia Lisbon's level · Casa Pia Lisbon: only games against sides at Alverca Futebol's level
CASA PIA LISBON GOALS
Casa Pia Lisbon Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES
1.25
ALV 7 of 9 (78%) · CAS 3 of 5 (60%)67.9%
Casa Pia Lisbon scored under 1.5 in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Alverca Futebol conceded under 1.5 in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 67% · Casa Pia Lisbon: only games against sides at Alverca Futebol's level · Alverca Futebol: only games against sides at Casa Pia Lisbon's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–0 11.2%
Alverca Futebol goals →
Casa Pia Lisbon goals ↓
0-08%
1-011%
2-010%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.7%
0-17%
1-113%
2-110%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.7%
0-24%
1-26%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.3%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.3%
1-40.5%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
ALVERCA FUTEBOLLDLDLWWWDL1.20 PPG
CASA PIA LISBONLWWLWLDLLL1.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
ALVERCA FUTEBOL HOMExCASA PIA LISBON AWAY
1.30SCORED A GAME0.501.30CONCEDED A GAME1.901%BOTH SCORED20%20%CLEAN SHEETS30%4.60CORNERS A GAME4.002.30CARDS A GAME2.20
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
CASA PIA LISBON 0:3 HANDICAP
–
134 OF 142
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.43POINTS A GAME0.70+0.43GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.40-2.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.11.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.27LEAGUE GAMES10
Alverca Futebol: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
53%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
30%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
78%
NO · 85/90
ALVERCA FUTEBOL OR DRAW
55%
NO · 80/85
CASA PIA LISBON OR DRAW
68%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
ALVERCA FUTEBOLxCASA PIA LISBON
5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME1.000.80CONCEDED A GAME1.602.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.640%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%40%BOTH SCORE40%4.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.28.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES11.0
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Alverca Futebol have scored in 70% of their games.
Casa Pia Lisbon have scored in 40% of their games.
Alverca Futebol kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Casa Pia Lisbon kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tableteam newscornerscards