OCOXF

20:45Fri 6 Nov

LEI

LEI

Oxford City vs Leicester

CLASS D

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. FA Cup, 1/128-finals. Kick-off is Fri 6 Nov, 20:45 Lagos time. It is played at Court Place Farm, Oxford.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Oxford City have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W W. Leicester have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W W.

The numbers. Oxford City score 2.1 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets. Oxford City average 10.2 shots (4.2 on target), 7.5 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Leicester score 2.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Leicester average 18.6 shots (6.5 on target), 8.0 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 66% of the ball.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 13% against the records' 48%.

The read. No firm call: Oxford City are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Oxford City the likelier winners; Oxford City are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Oxford City. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Oxford City 2-1 Leicester (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Oxford City or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

OXF 9 of 10 (90%) · LEI 5 of 5 (100%)95.6%

Oxford City: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Leicester: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95%

Oxford City or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.40

OXF 7 of 10 (70%) · LEI 4 of 5 (80%)73.4%

Oxford City: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Leicester: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80%

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.15

OXF 8 of 10 (80%) · LEI 5 of 5 (100%)91.2%

Oxford City: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Leicester: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90%

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.48

OXF 5 of 10 (50%) · LEI 4 of 5 (80%)64.6%

Oxford City: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Leicester: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70%

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.24

OXF 5 of 7 (71%) · LEI 5 of 5 (100%)85.7%

Oxford City: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Leicester: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 86% · on half-time scores

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.16

OXF 5 of 7 (71%) · LEI 5 of 5 (100%)85.7%

Oxford City: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Leicester: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 86% · on half-time scores

CARDS

Over 1.5 CardsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

OXF 5 of 6 (83%) · LEI 4 of 8 (50%)66.7%

Oxford City's games: over 1.5 cards in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Leicester's games: over 1.5 cards in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67%

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.7%

Oxford City goals →

Leicester goals ↓

0-05%

1-08%

2-08%

3-05%

4-02%

5-00.9%

0-15%

1-111%

2-110%

3-16%

4-13%

5-11%

0-23%

1-26%

2-26%

3-24%

4-22%

5-20.7%

0-31%

1-33%

2-32%

3-32%

4-30.7%

5-30.3%

0-40.4%

1-40.8%

2-40.8%

3-40.5%

4-40.2%

5-40.1%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

OXFORD CITYLWWDWWWDWL2.00 PPG

LEICESTERWDWLLWWLWD1.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

OXFORD CITY HOMExLEICESTER AWAY

2.10SCORED A GAME2.500.70CONCEDED A GAME1.5050%CLEAN SHEETS20%0%FAILED TO SCORE15%7.50CORNERS A GAME8.002.00CARDS A GAME1.38

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.93POINTS A GAME1.46+1.07GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.23+1.9SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.51.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.014LEAGUE GAMES13

Oxford City: the quality side - a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

86%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

62%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

91%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

OXFORD CITY OR DRAW

69%

NO · 80/85

LEICESTER OR DRAW

73%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (14 and 13 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

OXFORD CITYxLEICESTER

7GAMES61.86SCORED A GAME1.831.14CONCEDED A GAME1.173.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.086%OVER 1.5 GOALS83%57%OVER 2.5 GOALS50%57%BOTH SCORE67%4.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–11.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Oxford City have scored in 90% of their games.

Leicester have scored in 100% of their games.

Oxford City kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

Leicester kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsteam newscornerscards