SPAIN AMATEUR - TERCERA FEDERACION, GROUP 13

CBCDB

18:30Sun 1 Nov

SFC

CD Bala Azul vs SFC Minerva

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 13. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 18:30 Lagos time.

Form. CD Bala Azul have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten league games, 0.9 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D W L L D. SFC Minerva have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten league games, 1.4 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L W D L.

The numbers. CD Bala Azul score 1.4 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. CD Bala Azul average 10.9 shots (3.6 on target), 5.5 corners and 4.0 cards a game. SFC Minerva score 0.9 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. SFC Minerva average 8.9 shots (2.6 on target), 4.4 corners and 3.9 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 24% against the records' 45%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.

The read. No firm call: SFC Minerva are the better side, but not at this price. SFC Minerva are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour SFC Minerva.

The bets. No best bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: CD Bala Azul 1-1 SFC Minerva (13% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (SFC Minerva the favourite), goals in between.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDB 9 of 10 (90%) · SFC 9 of 10 (90%)90%

CD Bala Azul: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · SFC Minerva: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · CD Bala Azul: only games against sides at SFC Minerva's level · SFC Minerva: only games against sides at CD Bala Azul's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDB 7 of 10 (70%) · SFC 9 of 10 (90%)80%

CD Bala Azul: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · SFC Minerva: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · CD Bala Azul: only games against sides at SFC Minerva's level · SFC Minerva: only games against sides at CD Bala Azul's level

CD BALA AZUL GOALS

CD Bala Azul Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDB 8 of 10 (80%) · SFC 6 of 10 (60%)52%

CD Bala Azul scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · SFC Minerva conceded in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · CD Bala Azul: only games against sides at SFC Minerva's level · SFC Minerva: only games against sides at CD Bala Azul's level

SFC MINERVA GOALS

SFC Minerva Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.54

SFC 6 of 10 (60%) · CDB 8 of 10 (80%)52%

SFC Minerva scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CD Bala Azul conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · SFC Minerva: only games against sides at CD Bala Azul's level · CD Bala Azul: only games against sides at SFC Minerva's level

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDB 8 of 8 (100%) · SFC 7 of 8 (88%)93.8%

CD Bala Azul's games: over 3.5 cards in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · SFC Minerva's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · CD Bala Azul: only games against sides at SFC Minerva's level · SFC Minerva: only games against sides at CD Bala Azul's level

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13%

CD Bala Azul goals →

SFC Minerva goals ↓

0-07%

1-08%

2-06%

3-03%

4-00.9%

5-00.3%

0-18%

1-113%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-28%

2-26%

3-23%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-34%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.9%

1-41%

2-40.8%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.3%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10

CD BALA AZULLLLDWDLLWD0.90 PPG

SFC MINERVAWLWWDLDWLL1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CD BALA AZUL HOMExSFC MINERVA AWAY

1.40SCORED A GAME0.901.90CONCEDED A GAME1.3020%CLEAN SHEETS40%5.50CORNERS A GAME4.384.00CARDS A GAME3.88

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

PRICE NOT KEPT

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

TRENDS

CD Bala Azul have scored in 80% of their games.

SFC Minerva have scored in 60% of their games.

CD Bala Azul kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

SFC Minerva kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards