CD Agoncillo vs CA River Ebro
Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 16. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 17:00 Lagos time.
Form. CD Agoncillo have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W W. CA River Ebro have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D W.
The numbers. CD Agoncillo score 1.8 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. CD Agoncillo average 11.8 shots (6.2 on target), 6.5 corners and 1.8 cards a game. CA River Ebro score 0.6 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. CA River Ebro average 5.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 72% against the records' 42%.
The read. No firm call: CD Agoncillo are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make CD Agoncillo the likelier winners; CD Agoncillo are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.22, 82% on the records (CD Agoncillo: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; CA River Ebro: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). Backup: CA River Ebro Over 0.5 Goals at 1.69. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); CD Agoncillo Over 1.5 goals (CA River Ebro's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: CD Agoncillo 2-1 CA River Ebro (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).