UE Porreres vs CD Cardassar
Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 11. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 16:30 Lagos time.
Form. UE Porreres have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W W. CD Cardassar have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W L.
The numbers. UE Porreres score 1.3 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. UE Porreres average 6.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game. CD Cardassar score 1.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. CD Cardassar average 3.5 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: CD Cardassar are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour UE Porreres.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.27, 74% on the records (UE Porreres: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 7; CD Cardassar: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: UE Porreres 2-1 CD Cardassar (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).