VSVIT

16:00Sun 1 Nov

GDL

Vitoria Setubal vs GD Lagoa

CLASS E

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Campeonato de Portugal. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time.

Form. Vitoria Setubal have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D W D. GD Lagoa have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L D W.

The numbers. Vitoria Setubal score one and concede two a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Vitoria Setubal average 9.5 shots (4.2 on target), 6.6 corners and 3.0 cards a game. GD Lagoa score 1.4 and concede 1.3 a game in their last seven away, with one clean sheet. GD Lagoa average 6.0 shots (1.6 on target), 4.7 corners and 1.6 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 31% against the records' 54%.

The read. No firm call: GD Lagoa are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. GD Lagoa are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour GD Lagoa. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 50%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Vitoria Setubal 1-1 GD Lagoa (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

VIT 7 of 8 (88%) · GDL 6 of 6 (100%)95.6%

Vitoria Setubal: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · GD Lagoa: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 94% · Vitoria Setubal: only games against sides at GD Lagoa's level · GD Lagoa: only games against sides at Vitoria Setubal's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

VIT 7 of 8 (88%) · GDL 6 of 6 (100%)88.7%

Vitoria Setubal: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · GD Lagoa: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 94% · Vitoria Setubal: only games against sides at GD Lagoa's level · GD Lagoa: only games against sides at Vitoria Setubal's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

1.77

VIT 5 of 8 (62%) · GDL 4 of 6 (67%)51.3%

Vitoria Setubal: both scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · GD Lagoa: both scored in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 65% · Vitoria Setubal: only games against sides at GD Lagoa's level · GD Lagoa: only games against sides at Vitoria Setubal's level

VITORIA SETUBAL GOALS

Vitoria Setubal Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

VIT 6 of 8 (75%) · GDL 5 of 6 (83%)76.1%

Vitoria Setubal scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · GD Lagoa conceded in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 76% · Vitoria Setubal: only games against sides at GD Lagoa's level · GD Lagoa: only games against sides at Vitoria Setubal's level

GD LAGOA GOALS

GD Lagoa Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.47

VIT 5 of 6 (83%) · GDL 7 of 8 (88%)66.5%

GD Lagoa scored in 5 of 6 away · Vitoria Setubal conceded in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · GD Lagoa: only games against sides at Vitoria Setubal's level · Vitoria Setubal: only games against sides at GD Lagoa's level

CARDS

Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

VIT 5 of 6 (83%) · GDL 5 of 6 (83%)84.3%

Vitoria Setubal's games: over 2.5 cards in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · GD Lagoa's games: over 2.5 cards in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 86% · Vitoria Setubal: only games against sides at GD Lagoa's level · GD Lagoa: only games against sides at Vitoria Setubal's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.3%

Vitoria Setubal goals →

GD Lagoa goals ↓

0-09%

1-011%

2-08%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.4%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.5%

1-40.7%

2-40.5%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

VITORIA SETUBALLLLLWDWDDL0.90 PPG

GD LAGOAWWLDLWDLDL1.20 PPG

THE NUMBERS

VITORIA SETUBAL HOMExGD LAGOA AWAY

1.10SCORED A GAME1.201.70CONCEDED A GAME1.3020%CLEAN SHEETS20%6.62CORNERS A GAME4.703.00CARDS A GAME1.60

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

649 OF 684

NO PRICE YET

The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

TRENDS

Vitoria Setubal have scored in 80% of their games.

GD Lagoa have scored in 80% of their games.

Vitoria Setubal kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

GD Lagoa kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards