MFMOR

16:00Sun 1 Nov

FCA

Mortagua FC vs FC Alverca B

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Campeonato de Portugal. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time.

Form. Mortagua FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D W. FC Alverca B have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L L.

The numbers. Mortagua FC score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Mortagua FC average 8.6 shots (2.7 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.8 cards a game. FC Alverca B score two and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and three games without a goal. FC Alverca B average 8.4 shots (3.1 on target), 5.8 corners and 2.7 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make FC Alverca B the likelier winners, but both teams' records favour Mortagua FC.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Mortagua FC 1-2 FC Alverca B (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MOR 8 of 8 (100%) · FCA 10 of 10 (100%)100%

Mortagua FC: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · FC Alverca B: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Mortagua FC: only games against sides at FC Alverca B's level · FC Alverca B: only games against sides at Mortagua FC's level

Over 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.33

MOR 6 of 8 (75%) · FCA 6 of 10 (60%)67.5%

Mortagua FC: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · FC Alverca B: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · Mortagua FC: only games against sides at FC Alverca B's level · FC Alverca B: only games against sides at Mortagua FC's level

FC ALVERCA B GOALS

FC Alverca B Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.36

MOR 7 of 10 (70%) · FCA 7 of 8 (88%)78.8%

FC Alverca B scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mortagua FC conceded in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · FC Alverca B: only games against sides at Mortagua FC's level · Mortagua FC: only games against sides at FC Alverca B's level

CARDS

Over 1.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MOR 6 of 8 (75%) · FCA 8 of 10 (80%)77.5%

Mortagua FC's games: over 1.5 cards in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · FC Alverca B's games: over 1.5 cards in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · Mortagua FC: only games against sides at FC Alverca B's level · FC Alverca B: only games against sides at Mortagua FC's level

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 9.6%

Mortagua FC goals →

FC Alverca B goals ↓

0-07%

1-06%

2-04%

3-01%

4-00.4%

5-00.1%

0-110%

1-112%

2-16%

3-12%

4-10.6%

5-10.1%

0-29%

1-210%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.5%

5-20.1%

0-35%

1-35%

2-33%

3-31.0%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-42%

1-42%

2-41%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.7%

1-50.7%

2-50.4%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

MORTAGUA FCLWWWDWDLLW1.70 PPG

FC ALVERCA BWLWWLLLWLW1.50 PPG

THE NUMBERS

MORTAGUA FC HOMExFC ALVERCA B AWAY

1.30SCORED A GAME2.000.90CONCEDED A GAME0.8020%CLEAN SHEETS50%4.00CORNERS A GAME5.801.80CARDS A GAME2.70

TRENDS

Mortagua FC have scored in 60% of their games.

FC Alverca B have scored in 70% of their games.

Mortagua FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

FC Alverca B kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards