THE READ
Match details. Campeonato de Portugal. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. GD Braganca have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W W. FC Tirsense have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W L.
The numbers. GD Braganca score two and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. GD Braganca average 10.2 shots (4.4 on target), 3.4 corners and 3.6 cards a game. FC Tirsense score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. FC Tirsense average 14.6 shots (4.8 on target), 5.5 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%.
The case against. FC Tirsense's record still gives them 36% to win.
The read. GD Braganca to win. Their goals for and against make GD Braganca the likelier winners; GD Braganca are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour GD Braganca.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: GD Braganca or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); GD Braganca Over 0.5 Goals (FC Tirsense's own games don't back it (4 of 9)). Predicted score: GD Braganca 2-1 FC Tirsense (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
GD Braganca or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GDB 7 of 7 (100%) · FCT 8 of 9 (89%)94.4%
GD Braganca: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FC Tirsense: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · GD Braganca: only games against sides at FC Tirsense's level · FC Tirsense: only games against sides at GD Braganca's level
GD Braganca (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.55
GDB 4 of 6 (67%) · FCT 3 of 7 (43%)70.9%
GD Braganca won 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · FC Tirsense lost 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 55% · GD Braganca: only games against sides at FC Tirsense's level · FC Tirsense: only games against sides at GD Braganca's level · won 4, refunded 3, lost 2
GD Braganca or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GDB 4 of 5 (80%) · FCT 5 of 7 (71%)69%
GD Braganca scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FC Tirsense trailed or failed to win in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · GD Braganca: only games against sides at FC Tirsense's level · FC Tirsense: only games against sides at GD Braganca's level
GD Braganca or Over 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GDB 5 of 7 (71%) · FCT 6 of 9 (67%)69%
GD Braganca: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FC Tirsense: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · GD Braganca: only games against sides at FC Tirsense's level · FC Tirsense: only games against sides at GD Braganca's level
GD Braganca 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GDB 3 of 5 (60%) · FCT 4 of 7 (57%)50.2%
GD Braganca scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FC Tirsense trailed in 3 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · GD Braganca: only games against sides at FC Tirsense's level · FC Tirsense: only games against sides at GD Braganca's level
GOALS
no price yet
GDB 7 of 7 (100%) · FCT 8 of 9 (89%)93.6%
GD Braganca: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FC Tirsense: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · GD Braganca: only games against sides at FC Tirsense's level · FC Tirsense: only games against sides at GD Braganca's level
no price yet
GDB 6 of 7 (86%) · FCT 8 of 9 (89%)93.3%
GD Braganca: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FC Tirsense: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 87% · GD Braganca: only games against sides at FC Tirsense's level · FC Tirsense: only games against sides at GD Braganca's level
no price yet
GDB 6 of 7 (86%) · FCT 7 of 9 (78%)84.9%
GD Braganca: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FC Tirsense: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · GD Braganca: only games against sides at FC Tirsense's level · FC Tirsense: only games against sides at GD Braganca's level
Under 3.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.28
GDB 6 of 7 (86%) · FCT 7 of 9 (78%)69.4%
GD Braganca: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FC Tirsense: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · GD Braganca: only games against sides at FC Tirsense's level · FC Tirsense: only games against sides at GD Braganca's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.74
GDB 2 of 7 (29%) · FCT 4 of 9 (44%)55.3%
GD Braganca: both scored in 2 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FC Tirsense: both scored in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 37% · GD Braganca: only games against sides at FC Tirsense's level · FC Tirsense: only games against sides at GD Braganca's level
FC TIRSENSE GOALS
FC Tirsense Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.37
GDB 8 of 9 (89%) · FCT 4 of 7 (57%)67.3%
FC Tirsense scored in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · GD Braganca conceded in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · FC Tirsense: only games against sides at GD Braganca's level · GD Braganca: only games against sides at FC Tirsense's level
CARDS
no price yet
GDB 6 of 7 (86%) · FCT 6 of 9 (67%)76.2%
GD Braganca's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FC Tirsense's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · GD Braganca: only games against sides at FC Tirsense's level · FC Tirsense: only games against sides at GD Braganca's level
Left off the list: GD Braganca or Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (71%) and the records (51%) are 20 points apart, and nothing settles it); GD Braganca Over 0.5 Goals (FC Tirsense's own games don't back it (4 of 9))
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
NO PRICE YET
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
TRENDS
GD Braganca have scored in 70% of their games.
FC Tirsense have scored in 90% of their games.
GD Braganca kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
FC Tirsense kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.