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PORTUGAL - CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL
At Malveira crestAMATM
16:00Sun 1 Nov
SPOSport Benfica Castelo Branco crestSB

At Malveira vs Sport Benfica Castelo Branco

CLASS E
THE READ

Match details. Campeonato de Portugal. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time.

Form. At Malveira have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W D. Sport Benfica Castelo Branco have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W L.

The numbers. At Malveira score 1.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. At Malveira average 7.4 shots (3.3 on target), 3.8 corners and 3.0 cards a game. Sport Benfica Castelo Branco score 1.5 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets. Sport Benfica Castelo Branco average 10.1 shots (4.4 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.7 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make At Malveira the likelier winners, but At Malveira are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Sport Benfica Castelo Branco.

The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Sport Benfica Castelo Branco or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); At Malveira or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Sport Benfica Castelo Branco or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: At Malveira 1-1 Sport Benfica Castelo Branco (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATM 9 of 9 (100%) · SPO 5 of 5 (100%)94.5%
At Malveira: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Sport Benfica Castelo Branco: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · At Malveira: only games against sides at Sport Benfica Castelo Branco's level · Sport Benfica Castelo Branco: only games against sides at At Malveira's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATM 9 of 9 (100%) · SPO 5 of 5 (100%)92.5%
At Malveira: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Sport Benfica Castelo Branco: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · At Malveira: only games against sides at Sport Benfica Castelo Branco's level · Sport Benfica Castelo Branco: only games against sides at At Malveira's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATM 8 of 9 (89%) · SPO 3 of 5 (60%)86.7%
At Malveira: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Sport Benfica Castelo Branco: under 4.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 72% · At Malveira: only games against sides at Sport Benfica Castelo Branco's level · Sport Benfica Castelo Branco: only games against sides at At Malveira's level
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.25
ATM 8 of 9 (89%) · SPO 3 of 5 (60%)75.3%
At Malveira: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Sport Benfica Castelo Branco: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 83% · At Malveira: only games against sides at Sport Benfica Castelo Branco's level · Sport Benfica Castelo Branco: only games against sides at At Malveira's level
SPORT BENFICA CASTELO BRANCO GOALS
Sport Benfica Castelo Branco Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATM 5 of 5 (100%) · SPO 8 of 9 (89%)68.2%
Sport Benfica Castelo Branco scored in 5 of 5 away · At Malveira conceded in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Sport Benfica Castelo Branco: only games against sides at At Malveira's level · At Malveira: only games against sides at Sport Benfica Castelo Branco's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATM 7 of 9 (78%) · SPO 4 of 5 (80%)78.5%
At Malveira's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Sport Benfica Castelo Branco's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 78% · At Malveira: only games against sides at Sport Benfica Castelo Branco's level · Sport Benfica Castelo Branco: only games against sides at At Malveira's level
Left off the list: Sport Benfica Castelo Branco or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); At Malveira or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Sport Benfica Castelo Branco or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 12.8%
At Malveira goals →
Sport Benfica Castelo… goals ↓
0-08%
1-010%
2-08%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.5%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.5%
1-40.8%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10
AT MALVEIRADLDLLDWDWD1.10 PPG
SPORT BENFICA CASTELO BRANCOWLLWLLWLWL1.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
AT MALVEIRA HOMExSPORT BENFICA CASTELO BRANCO AWAY
1.20SCORED A GAME1.401.60CONCEDED A GAME2.1010%CLEAN SHEETS30%3.80CORNERS A GAME4.803.00CARDS A GAME2.70
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
NO PRICE YET
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
TRENDS
At Malveira have scored in 70% of their games.
Sport Benfica Castelo Branco have scored in 100% of their games.
At Malveira kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Sport Benfica Castelo Branco kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards
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