Match details. Campeonato de Portugal. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. At Malveira have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W D. Sport Benfica Castelo Branco have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W L.
The numbers. At Malveira score 1.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. At Malveira average 7.4 shots (3.3 on target), 3.8 corners and 3.0 cards a game. Sport Benfica Castelo Branco score 1.5 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets. Sport Benfica Castelo Branco average 10.1 shots (4.4 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make At Malveira the likelier winners, but At Malveira are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Sport Benfica Castelo Branco.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Sport Benfica Castelo Branco or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); At Malveira or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Sport Benfica Castelo Branco or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: At Malveira 1-1 Sport Benfica Castelo Branco (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).