ACADC

16:00Sun 1 Nov

FLO

AD Castro Daire vs Florgrade FC

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Campeonato de Portugal. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time.

Form. AD Castro Daire have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W L D. Florgrade FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W W.

The numbers. AD Castro Daire score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. AD Castro Daire average 8.3 shots (3.4 on target), 3.0 corners and 1.9 cards a game. Florgrade FC score one and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and three games without a goal. Florgrade FC average 6.0 shots (2.1 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.9 cards a game.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 33%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: AD Castro Daire or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Florgrade FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: AD Castro Daire 1-1 Florgrade FC (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ADC 8 of 8 (100%) · FLO 7 of 7 (100%)95.3%

AD Castro Daire: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Florgrade FC: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · AD Castro Daire: only games against sides at Florgrade FC's level · Florgrade FC: only games against sides at AD Castro Daire's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ADC 8 of 8 (100%) · FLO 7 of 7 (100%)88.2%

AD Castro Daire: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Florgrade FC: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · AD Castro Daire: only games against sides at Florgrade FC's level · Florgrade FC: only games against sides at AD Castro Daire's level

Under 3.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.22

ADC 6 of 8 (75%) · FLO 6 of 7 (86%)74.3%

AD Castro Daire: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Florgrade FC: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · AD Castro Daire: only games against sides at Florgrade FC's level · Florgrade FC: only games against sides at AD Castro Daire's level

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.61

ADC 5 of 8 (62%) · FLO 5 of 7 (71%)52.6%

AD Castro Daire: under 2.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Florgrade FC: under 2.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · AD Castro Daire: only games against sides at Florgrade FC's level · Florgrade FC: only games against sides at AD Castro Daire's level

CARDS

Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ADC 4 of 6 (67%) · FLO 6 of 7 (86%)76.2%

AD Castro Daire's games: over 2.5 cards in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Florgrade FC's games: over 2.5 cards in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · AD Castro Daire: only games against sides at Florgrade FC's level · Florgrade FC: only games against sides at AD Castro Daire's level

Left off the list: AD Castro Daire or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Florgrade FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.2%

AD Castro Daire goals →

Florgrade FC goals ↓

0-08%

1-010%

2-08%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.4%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.9%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.5%

1-40.8%

2-40.5%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

AD CASTRO DAIREWLDLWDLWDD1.30 PPG

FLORGRADE FCWDWDLWWLLW1.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

AD CASTRO DAIRE HOMExFLORGRADE FC AWAY

1.10SCORED A GAME1.000.90CONCEDED A GAME0.9030%CLEAN SHEETS50%3.00CORNERS A GAME4.201.86CARDS A GAME2.90

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

TRENDS

AD Castro Daire have scored in 60% of their games.

Florgrade FC have scored in 70% of their games.

AD Castro Daire kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Florgrade FC kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards