Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 14, Group 14 - 9. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 12:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Jerez CF are 8th on 11 points after 8 games, level on points with Gévora, 1 point clear of Cabeza Buey. A win would take them above Gévora. Atletico Club Pueblonuevo are 17th on 3 points after 8 games, 4 points behind Plasencia, 2 points clear of Guadiana.
Form. Jerez CF have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten league games, 1.4 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L D W W L. Atletico Club Pueblonuevo have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten league games, 0.7 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L L D L.
The numbers. Jerez CF score 1.8 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Jerez CF average 2.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Atletico Club Pueblonuevo score 0.8 and concede 3.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Atletico Club Pueblonuevo average 7.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Jerez CF have won five, drawn one and lost two. Six of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Jerez CF won three and Atletico Club Pueblonuevo won one. The last time they met, on 1 Mar 2026, it finished Jerez CF 2-3 Atletico Club Pueblonuevo.
The read. Jerez CF to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Jerez CF the likelier winners; Jerez CF are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Jerez CF; the meetings favour Jerez CF. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%. Six of the last eight meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.16, rated 75% (Jerez CF: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; Atletico Club Pueblonuevo: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Predicted score: Jerez CF 2-1 Atletico Club Pueblonuevo (10% chance).
The agreed story. Jerez CF or the draw, an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).