Ntugasaze FC vs Express FC
Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Kiira Road Police Arena.
What's at stake. Ntugasaze FC are 17th on 3 points after 7 games, level on points with Kataka, 2 points clear of Kigezi HomeBoyz. A win would take them above Kataka. Express FC are 15th on 7 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Lugazi, 4 points clear of Kataka. A win would take them above Lugazi.
Form. Ntugasaze FC have won two, drawn none and lost six of their last eight, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L. Express FC have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L D D.
The numbers. Ntugasaze FC score 0.9 and concede 2.2 a game over their last eight, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Ntugasaze FC average 9.8 shots (3.4 on target), 3.0 corners and 0.6 cards a game. Express FC score none and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and five games without a goal. Express FC average 11.0 shots (3.8 on target), 3.9 corners and 1.4 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 32%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Express FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 1.5 Cards (the signs point different ways); Express FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Ntugasaze FC 1-1 Express FC (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).