EDGE PICKStenhousemuir FC or Over 2.5 Goals · 64.8% · @1.51
Book 66% · Us 65%-1price too short
Backed by
Stenhousemuir FC: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Greenock Morton FC: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 74% · H2H 3 of 4 · Stenhousemuir FC: only games against sides at Greenock Morton FC's level · Greenock Morton FC: only games against sides at Stenhousemuir FC's level
· main loses on: 2-2, 3-1, 1-3, 4-0, 0-4, 3-2, 2-3, 4-1, 1-4, 5-0, 0-5, 3-3 and 99 more up to 10-10 | hedge wins on all of them
THE READ
Match details. Championship, Regular Season - 14. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Cappielow Park, Greenock. The referee is R. Hardie.
What's at stake. Greenock Morton FC are 9th on 10 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Arbroath, 3 points clear of Queen's Park. A win would take them above Arbroath. Stenhousemuir FC are 4th on 23 points after 13 games, 1 point behind Dunfermline, 3 points clear of Livingston. A win would take them above Dunfermline.
Form. Greenock Morton FC have won three, drawn one and lost five of their last nine, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L L. In this competition Greenock Morton FC have gone W W W L L L. Stenhousemuir FC have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D L. In this competition Stenhousemuir FC have gone L L L D L W.
The numbers. Greenock Morton FC score 1.2 and concede 1.7 a game over their last nine, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Greenock Morton FC average 4.0 corners and 1.9 cards a game. Stenhousemuir FC score 0.8 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. Stenhousemuir FC average 4.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last four meetings Greenock Morton FC have won two, drawn none and lost two. Two of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in none. The last time they met, on 8 Aug 2026, it finished Greenock Morton FC 0-2 Stenhousemuir FC.
The case against. Greenock Morton FC's record still gives them 39% to win.
The read. Stenhousemuir FC to win. A tight game. Stenhousemuir FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Stenhousemuir FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.26, 75% on the records (Greenock Morton FC: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 9; Stenhousemuir FC: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10). Full cover: Stenhousemuir FC or Over 2.5 Goals at 1.51. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Stenhousemuir FC 1UP (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Greenock Morton FC 0-1 Stenhousemuir FC (8% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Stenhousemuir FC or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GRE 9 of 10 (90%) · STE 9 of 9 (100%)90%
Stenhousemuir FC: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Greenock Morton FC: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · H2H 4 of 4 · Stenhousemuir FC: only games against sides at Greenock Morton FC's level · Greenock Morton FC: only games against sides at Stenhousemuir FC's level
Stenhousemuir FC or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.26
GRE 8 of 10 (80%) · STE 7 of 9 (78%)74.8%
Stenhousemuir FC: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Greenock Morton FC: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 3 of 4 · Stenhousemuir FC: only games against sides at Greenock Morton FC's level · Greenock Morton FC: only games against sides at Stenhousemuir FC's level
Stenhousemuir FC win or both teams scoreIN CODES
1.32
GRE 6 of 10 (60%) · STE 8 of 9 (89%)68.4%
Stenhousemuir FC: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Greenock Morton FC: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 74% · H2H 2 of 4 · Stenhousemuir FC: only games against sides at Greenock Morton FC's level · Greenock Morton FC: only games against sides at Stenhousemuir FC's level
Stenhousemuir FC or Over 2.5 GoalsFULL COVERPAGE ONLY
1.51
GRE 7 of 10 (70%) · STE 7 of 9 (78%)64.8%
Stenhousemuir FC: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Greenock Morton FC: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 74% · H2H 3 of 4 · Stenhousemuir FC: only games against sides at Greenock Morton FC's level · Greenock Morton FC: only games against sides at Stenhousemuir FC's level
Stenhousemuir FC or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.32
GRE 2 of 5 (40%) · STE 5 of 10 (50%)56.7%
Stenhousemuir FC scored first 1 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 2 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Greenock Morton FC trailed or failed to win in 4 of 5 at home
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GRE 9 of 9 (100%) · STE 10 of 10 (100%)96.2%
Greenock Morton FC: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Stenhousemuir FC: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 4 of 4 · Greenock Morton FC: only games against sides at Stenhousemuir FC's level · Stenhousemuir FC: only games against sides at Greenock Morton FC's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GRE 9 of 9 (100%) · STE 10 of 10 (100%)92.4%
Greenock Morton FC: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Stenhousemuir FC: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 4 of 4 · Greenock Morton FC: only games against sides at Stenhousemuir FC's level · Stenhousemuir FC: only games against sides at Greenock Morton FC's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GRE 7 of 9 (78%) · STE 10 of 10 (100%)90.2%
Greenock Morton FC: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Stenhousemuir FC: under 4.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · H2H 4 of 4 · Greenock Morton FC: only games against sides at Stenhousemuir FC's level · Stenhousemuir FC: only games against sides at Greenock Morton FC's level
Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.26
GRE 7 of 9 (78%) · STE 9 of 10 (90%)78.4%
Greenock Morton FC: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Stenhousemuir FC: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · H2H 3 of 4 · Greenock Morton FC: only games against sides at Stenhousemuir FC's level · Stenhousemuir FC: only games against sides at Greenock Morton FC's level
GREENOCK MORTON FC GOALS
Greenock Morton FC Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.44
GRE 6 of 9 (67%) · STE 7 of 10 (70%)58.1%
Greenock Morton FC scored under 1.5 in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Stenhousemuir FC conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · H2H 2 of 4 · Greenock Morton FC: only games against sides at Stenhousemuir FC's level · Stenhousemuir FC: only games against sides at Greenock Morton FC's level
STENHOUSEMUIR FC GOALS
Stenhousemuir FC Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.33
GRE 6 of 10 (60%) · STE 8 of 9 (89%)65.2%
Stenhousemuir FC scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Greenock Morton FC conceded in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 74% · H2H 2 of 4 · Stenhousemuir FC: only games against sides at Greenock Morton FC's level · Greenock Morton FC: only games against sides at Stenhousemuir FC's level
HALVES
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.45
GRE 8 of 9 (89%) · STE 8 of 10 (80%)83.1%
Greenock Morton FC: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Stenhousemuir FC: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · H2H 3 of 4 · on half-time scores · Greenock Morton FC: only games against sides at Stenhousemuir FC's level · Stenhousemuir FC: only games against sides at Greenock Morton FC's level
Left off the list: Stenhousemuir FC 1UP (the numbers (46%) and the records (57%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–18.3%
Greenock Morton FC goals →
Stenhousemuir FC goals ↓
0-09%
1-011%
2-08%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.5%
1-40.7%
2-40.5%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
GREENOCK MORTON FCDLLLLLWWW1.11 PPG
STENHOUSEMUIR FCWWWWWLDLLL1.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
GREENOCK MORTON FC HOMExSTENHOUSEMUIR FC AWAY
1.22SCORED A GAME0.801.67CONCEDED A GAME1.1010%CLEAN SHEETS30%33%FAILED TO SCORE31%4.00CORNERS A GAME4.851.92CARDS A GAME2.00
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
GREENOCK MORTON FC 3:0 HANDICAP
–
134 OF 142
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
NO TEAM SCORES 3 IN A ROW
–
85 OF 93
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight or mixed game, the Bank expects under 2.3 goals, and the favourite fails to score in 1 game in 4 or more.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
0.83POINTS A GAME1.77-0.67GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.08-2.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.71.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.212LEAGUE GAMES13
Stenhousemuir FC: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
74%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
37%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
96%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
GREENOCK MORTON FC OR DRAW
28%
NO · 80/85
STENHOUSEMUIR FC OR DRAW
77%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (12 and 13 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
GREENOCK MORTON FCxSTENHOUSEMUIR FC
6GAMES60.83SCORED A GAME0.831.67CONCEDED A GAME1.002.5GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.867%OVER 1.5 GOALS67%50%OVER 2.5 GOALS17%50%BOTH SCORE17%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 4
GREENOCK MORTON FC 2 · 50%DRAW 0STENHOUSEMUIR FC 2 · 50%
0 of 4BOTH TEAMS SCORED
4 of 4OVER 1.5 GOALS
2 of 4OVER 2.5 GOALS
1 of 4OVER 3.5 GOALS
2018-07-21Greenock Morton FC 2 – 0 Stenhousemuir FC
2025-07-15Greenock Morton FC 3 – 0 Stenhousemuir FC
2026-01-17Greenock Morton FC 0 – 4 Stenhousemuir FC
2026-08-08Greenock Morton FC 0 – 2 Stenhousemuir FC
TRENDS
Greenock Morton FC have scored in 70% of their games.
Stenhousemuir FC have scored in 50% of their games.
Greenock Morton FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Stenhousemuir FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards