Match details. Championship, Regular Season - 15. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Vicarage Road, Watford.
What's at stake. Watford are 20th on 14 points after 14 games, 1 point behind Lincoln, level on points with Charlton. A win would take them above Lincoln. Middlesbrough FC are 1st on 28 points after 14 games, 1 point clear of Wolves.
Form. Watford have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W L. Middlesbrough FC have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D W.
The numbers. Watford score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Watford average 12.0 shots (4.0 on target), 3.6 corners and 2.9 cards a game, with 48% of the ball. Middlesbrough FC score two and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Middlesbrough FC average 20.8 shots (7.2 on target), 6.1 corners and 1.0 cards a game, with 61% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Watford have won five, drawn one and lost four. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Watford won three and Middlesbrough FC won one. The last time they met, on 25 Apr 2026, it finished Watford 1-5 Middlesbrough FC: Watford had 12 shots to 20, 44% of the ball, three yellow cards.
The case against. Watford's record still gives them 35% to win.
The read. Middlesbrough FC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Middlesbrough FC the likelier winners; Middlesbrough FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Middlesbrough FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 71%. Six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.13, 77% on the records (Watford: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Middlesbrough FC: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 9). Full cover: Under 5.5 Goals at 1.12. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Predicted score: Watford 1-2 Middlesbrough FC (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Middlesbrough FC or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
WAT 9 of 9 (100%) · MID 4 of 5 (80%)92.2%
Middlesbrough FC: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Watford: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 95% · H2H 5 of 6 · Middlesbrough FC: only games against sides at Watford's level · Watford: only games against sides at Middlesbrough FC's level
Middlesbrough FC win or both teams scoreIN CODES
1.09
WAT 8 of 9 (89%) · MID 3 of 5 (60%)81.2%
Middlesbrough FC: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Watford: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 84% · H2H 4 of 6 · Middlesbrough FC: only games against sides at Watford's level · Watford: only games against sides at Middlesbrough FC's level
Middlesbrough FC or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.12
WAT 4 of 5 (80%) · MID 8 of 9 (89%)76.3%
Middlesbrough FC scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Watford trailed or failed to win in 3 of 5 at home · Middlesbrough FC: only games against sides at Watford's level · Watford: only games against sides at Middlesbrough FC's level
Middlesbrough FC (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY
1.25
WAT 5 of 6 (83%) · MID 2 of 5 (40%)74.3%
Middlesbrough FC won 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Watford lost 2 of 5 at home (draws left out) · both last 10: 77% · H2H 3 of 6 · Middlesbrough FC: only games against sides at Watford's level · Watford: only games against sides at Middlesbrough FC's level · won 4, refunded 1, lost 5
Middlesbrough FC or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.16
WAT 8 of 9 (89%) · MID 3 of 5 (60%)71.9%
Middlesbrough FC: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Watford: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 84% · H2H 5 of 6 · Middlesbrough FC: only games against sides at Watford's level · Watford: only games against sides at Middlesbrough FC's level
Middlesbrough FC to Win Either Half: YesPAGE ONLY
1.28
WAT 8 of 9 (89%) · MID 3 of 5 (60%)70.8%
Middlesbrough FC: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Watford: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 84% · H2H 3 of 6 · on half-time scores · Middlesbrough FC: only games against sides at Watford's level · Watford: only games against sides at Middlesbrough FC's level
Middlesbrough FC or draw and over 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.31
WAT 2 of 5 (40%) · MID 7 of 9 (78%)67.5%
Watford: the bet landed in 2 of 5 at home · Middlesbrough FC: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 59% · H2H 3 of 6 · Watford: only games against sides at Middlesbrough FC's level · Middlesbrough FC: only games against sides at Watford's level
Middlesbrough FC 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
1.26
WAT 3 of 5 (60%) · MID 6 of 9 (67%)62.2%
Middlesbrough FC scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Watford trailed in 3 of 5 at home · Middlesbrough FC: only games against sides at Watford's level · Watford: only games against sides at Middlesbrough FC's level
1X2 - 2UP: Middlesbrough FCLEANPAGE ONLY
1.51
WAT 3 of 5 (60%) · MID 5 of 9 (56%)51.9%
Middlesbrough FC scored first 3 of last 5, led by 2 or won in 3 · led by 2 or won in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Watford trailed by 2 or lost in 2 of 5 at home · Middlesbrough FC: only games against sides at Watford's level · Watford: only games against sides at Middlesbrough FC's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsFULL COVERIN CODES
1.12
WAT 5 of 5 (100%) · MID 7 of 9 (78%)95.2%
Watford: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Middlesbrough FC: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · H2H 5 of 6 · Watford: only games against sides at Middlesbrough FC's level · Middlesbrough FC: only games against sides at Watford's level
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.30
WAT 5 of 5 (100%) · MID 6 of 9 (67%)88.8%
Watford: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Middlesbrough FC: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · H2H 4 of 6 · Watford: only games against sides at Middlesbrough FC's level · Middlesbrough FC: only games against sides at Watford's level
Over 1.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.13
WAT 4 of 5 (80%) · MID 8 of 9 (89%)82.9%
Watford: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Middlesbrough FC: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 74% · H2H 5 of 6 · Watford: only games against sides at Middlesbrough FC's level · Middlesbrough FC: only games against sides at Watford's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.45
WAT 3 of 5 (60%) · MID 7 of 9 (78%)52%
Watford: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Middlesbrough FC: over 2.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 64% · H2H 5 of 6 · Watford: only games against sides at Middlesbrough FC's level · Middlesbrough FC: only games against sides at Watford's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.62
WAT 2 of 5 (40%) · MID 6 of 9 (67%)54%
Watford: both scored in 2 of 5 at home · Middlesbrough FC: both scored in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 53% · H2H 4 of 6 · Watford: only games against sides at Middlesbrough FC's level · Middlesbrough FC: only games against sides at Watford's level
WATFORD GOALS
Watford Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.47
WAT 4 of 5 (80%) · MID 7 of 9 (78%)63.3%
Watford scored in 4 of 5 at home · Middlesbrough FC conceded in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · H2H 6 of 6 · Watford: only games against sides at Middlesbrough FC's level · Middlesbrough FC: only games against sides at Watford's level
MIDDLESBROUGH FC GOALS
Middlesbrough FC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.09
WAT 8 of 9 (89%) · MID 3 of 5 (60%)85.6%
Middlesbrough FC scored in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Watford conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 84% · H2H 4 of 6 · Middlesbrough FC: only games against sides at Watford's level · Watford: only games against sides at Middlesbrough FC's level
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.16
WAT 5 of 5 (100%) · MID 9 of 9 (100%)92.1%
Watford: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Middlesbrough FC: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Watford: only games against sides at Middlesbrough FC's level · Middlesbrough FC: only games against sides at Watford's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–29.5%
Watford goals →
Middlesbrough FC goals ↓
0-07%
1-06%
2-04%
3-01%
4-00.4%
5-00.1%
0-110%
1-112%
2-17%
3-12%
4-10.7%
5-10.2%
0-28%
1-210%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.6%
5-20.1%
0-35%
1-35%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-42%
1-42%
2-41%
3-40.5%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.6%
1-50.7%
2-50.4%
3-50.2%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
WATFORDWLLWLLLLWL0.90 PPG
MIDDLESBROUGH FCLWWDWWDDWL1.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
WATFORD HOMExMIDDLESBROUGH FC AWAY
0.93SCORED A GAME2.141.64CONCEDED A GAME1.3620%CLEAN SHEETS20%36%FAILED TO SCORE7%3.64CORNERS A GAME6.142.88CARDS A GAME1.000.97xG2.101.74xG AGAINST0.99
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.00POINTS A GAME2.00-0.71GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.79-1.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+4.71.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.014LEAGUE GAMES14
Middlesbrough FC: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).
MIDDLESBROUGH FC 0:2 HANDICAP
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54 OF 60
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
80%
OKAY · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
56%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
81%
NO · 85/90
WATFORD OR DRAW
64%
NO · 80/85
MIDDLESBROUGH FC OR DRAW
57%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (14 and 14 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
WATFORDxMIDDLESBROUGH FC
7GAMES71.29SCORED A GAME1.861.29CONCEDED A GAME1.432.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.386%OVER 1.5 GOALS86%57%OVER 2.5 GOALS57%57%BOTH SCORE71%4.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES2.010.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.0
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
WATFORD 5 · 50%DRAW 1MIDDLESBROUGH FC 4 · 40%
6 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
8 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
6 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
3 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2020-09-11Watford 1 – 0 Middlesbrough FC
2021-04-05Watford 1 – 1 Middlesbrough FC
2022-08-30Watford 2 – 1 Middlesbrough FC
2023-01-28Watford 0 – 2 Middlesbrough FC
2023-09-30Watford 2 – 3 Middlesbrough FC
2024-05-04Watford 1 – 3 Middlesbrough FC
2024-10-05Watford 2 – 1 Middlesbrough FC
2025-02-15Watford 1 – 0 Middlesbrough FC
TRENDS
Watford have scored in 60% of their games.
Middlesbrough FC have scored in 80% of their games.
Watford kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Middlesbrough FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards