Match details. Liga Portugal. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 21:30 Lagos time.
Form. Sporting have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L L. Moreirense FC have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L D.
The numbers. Sporting score two and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Sporting average 5.2 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Moreirense FC score one and concede 1.5 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Moreirense FC average 2.5 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 84% against the records' 41%.
The read. No firm call: Sporting are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Sporting the likelier winners; Sporting are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.13, 83% on the records (Sporting: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5; Moreirense FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Full cover: Under 5.5 Goals at 1.13. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Predicted score: Sporting 3-0 Moreirense FC (11% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Sporting or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SPO 5 of 5 (100%) · MOR 4 of 5 (80%)93.6%
Sporting: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Moreirense FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 94% · Sporting: only games against sides at Moreirense FC's level · Moreirense FC: only games against sides at Sporting's level
Sporting or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.09
SPO 4 of 5 (80%) · MOR 3 of 5 (60%)79.8%
Sporting: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Moreirense FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 79% · Sporting: only games against sides at Moreirense FC's level · Moreirense FC: only games against sides at Sporting's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsFULL COVERIN CODES
1.13
SPO 5 of 5 (100%) · MOR 5 of 5 (100%)92.2%
Sporting: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Moreirense FC: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · Sporting: only games against sides at Moreirense FC's level · Moreirense FC: only games against sides at Sporting's level
Over 1.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.13
SPO 5 of 5 (100%) · MOR 4 of 5 (80%)87.3%
Sporting: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Moreirense FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 89% · Sporting: only games against sides at Moreirense FC's level · Moreirense FC: only games against sides at Sporting's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.42
SPO 3 of 5 (60%) · MOR 3 of 5 (60%)65%
Sporting: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Moreirense FC: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 63% · Sporting: only games against sides at Moreirense FC's level · Moreirense FC: only games against sides at Sporting's level
SPORTING GOALS
Sporting Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SPO 5 of 5 (100%) · MOR 4 of 5 (80%)94.2%
Sporting scored in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Moreirense FC conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 94% · Sporting: only games against sides at Moreirense FC's level · Moreirense FC: only games against sides at Sporting's level
MOREIRENSE FC GOALS
Moreirense FC Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES
1.14
SPO 4 of 5 (80%) · MOR 3 of 5 (60%)83.7%
Moreirense FC scored under 1.5 in 4 of 5 away · Sporting conceded under 1.5 in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 63% · Moreirense FC: only games against sides at Sporting's level · Sporting: only games against sides at Moreirense FC's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 3–011.4%
Sporting goals →
Moreirense FC goals ↓
0-05%
1-010%
2-013%
3-011%
4-07%
5-04%
0-12%
1-17%
2-19%
3-17%
4-15%
5-12%
0-20.8%
1-22%
2-23%
3-22%
4-21%
5-20.8%
0-30.2%
1-30.5%
2-30.6%
3-30.5%
4-30.3%
5-30.2%
0-40.0%
1-40.1%
2-40.1%
3-40.1%
4-40.0%
5-40.0%
0-50.0%
1-50.0%
2-50.0%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
SPORTINGWWWLLWWDDW2.00 PPG
MOREIRENSE FCWWLLDWLLWL1.30 PPG
THE NUMBERS
SPORTING HOMExMOREIRENSE FC AWAY
2.30SCORED A GAME1.301.10CONCEDED A GAME1.7070%BOTH SCORED50%30%CLEAN SHEETS10%5.20CORNERS A GAME2.502.40CARDS A GAME2.30
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
SPORTING OR DRAW (1UP)
–
137 OF 146
NO PRICE YET
The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
2.00POINTS A GAME1.40+1.11GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.40+6.1SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-4.01.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.09LEAGUE GAMES10
Sporting: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows.
SPORTING 2:0 HANDICAP
–
389 OF 413
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
94%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
73%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
97%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
SPORTING OR DRAW
68%
NO · 80/85
MOREIRENSE FC OR DRAW
55%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
SPORTINGxMOREIRENSE FC
5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME1.801.20CONCEDED A GAME1.003.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.8100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%80%BOTH SCORE80%5.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.27.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES6.6
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Sporting have scored in 100% of their games.
Moreirense FC have scored in 60% of their games.
Sporting kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Moreirense FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tableteam newscornerscards