Nacional da Madeira vs Academico de Viseu FC
Match details. Liga Portugal, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 16:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estádio da Madeira, Funchal.
What's at stake. Nacional da Madeira are 15th on 7 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Maritimo, level on points with Rio Ave. A win would take them above Maritimo. Academico de Viseu FC are 6th on 20 points after 10 games, level on points with Arouca, 5 points clear of GIL Vicente. A win would take them above Arouca.
Form. Nacional da Madeira have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L. In this competition Nacional da Madeira have gone L W L L L L. Academico de Viseu FC have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. In this competition Academico de Viseu FC have gone W W W W W W.
The numbers. Nacional da Madeira score 1.2 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Nacional da Madeira average 8.8 shots (2.9 on target), 3.8 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 45% of the ball. Academico de Viseu FC score 1.8 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Academico de Viseu FC average 10.4 shots (3.9 on target), 2.5 corners and 2.9 cards a game, with 44% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Nacional da Madeira have won three, drawn five and lost one. Four of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, Nacional da Madeira won one and three were drawn. The last time they met, on 9 Mar 2024, it finished Nacional da Madeira 1-1 Academico de Viseu FC: Nacional da Madeira had 20 shots to 7, 55% of the ball, five yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%; five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Nacional da Madeira's record still gives them 23% to win.
The read. Academico de Viseu FC to win. Academico de Viseu FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Academico de Viseu FC.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Nacional da Madeira 0-1 Academico de Viseu FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).