INTERNATIONAL CLUBS - UEFA CONFERENCE LEAGUE

MONMON

21:00Thu 5 Nov

NOR

NOR

Monaco vs Nordsjaelland

CLASS A

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THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…

TOTAL GOALS

Class A

MONv

NOR

Over 1.5 Goals

Monaco v Nordsjaelland

International Clubs -… · 21:00

1.13odds

88%book

+2edge

2/2angles

EDGE PICKNordsjaelland Under 1.5 goals · 71% · @1.38

Book 72% · Us 71% -1 price too short

Backed by

Nordsjaelland scored under 1.5 in 4 of 6 away · Monaco conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 65%

· main loses on: 0-0, 1-0, 0-1 | hedge wins on all of them

THE READ

Match details. UEFA Conference League, League Stage - 3. Kick-off is Thu 5 Nov, 21:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stade Louis-II, Monaco. The referee is A. Bandic.

What's at stake. Monaco are 6th on 6 points after 2 games, level on points with Twente, level on points with St. Truiden. A win would take them above Twente. Nordsjaelland are 19th on 2 points after 2 games, 1 point behind SC Freiburg, level on points with Egnatia Rrogozhinë. A win would take them above SC Freiburg.

Form. Monaco have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L W. Nordsjaelland have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D D.

The numbers. Monaco score two and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Monaco average 10.5 shots (4.5 on target), 3.7 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 54% of the ball. Nordsjaelland score 1.7 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets. Nordsjaelland average 13.2 shots (5.4 on target), 5.9 corners and 2.9 cards a game, with 58% of the ball.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 66% against the records' 37%.

The read. No firm call: Monaco are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Monaco the likelier winners; Monaco are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.

The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.13, 79% on the records (Monaco: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Nordsjaelland: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 away). Full cover: Under 5.5 Goals at 1.16. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Over 0.5 first-half goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Monaco 2-1 Nordsjaelland (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Monaco or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MON 5 of 5 (100%) · NOR 5 of 6 (83%)94.7%

Monaco: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Nordsjaelland: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 85%

Monaco or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.15

93.5%

a proven pattern for games read like this one (team or over 2.5)

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsFULL COVERIN CODES

1.16

MON 5 of 5 (100%) · NOR 5 of 6 (83%)90%

Monaco: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Nordsjaelland: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 95%

Over 1.5 GoalsMAININ CODES

1.13

MON 5 of 5 (100%) · NOR 5 of 6 (83%)89.7%

Monaco: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Nordsjaelland: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 85%

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.38

MON 5 of 5 (100%) · NOR 4 of 6 (67%)72.7%

Monaco: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Nordsjaelland: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 85%

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.43

MON 3 of 5 (60%) · NOR 3 of 6 (50%)59.2%

Monaco: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Nordsjaelland: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 55%

MONACO GOALS

Monaco Over 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.39

MON 4 of 5 (80%) · NOR 2 of 6 (33%)68.3%

Monaco scored over 1.5 in 4 of 5 at home · Nordsjaelland conceded over 1.5 in 2 of 6 away · both last 10: 50%

NORDSJAELLAND GOALS

Nordsjaelland Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES

1.38

MON 4 of 6 (67%) · NOR 4 of 5 (80%)71%

Nordsjaelland scored under 1.5 in 4 of 6 away · Monaco conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 65%

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.14

MON 5 of 5 (100%) · NOR 5 of 6 (83%)91.1%

Monaco: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Nordsjaelland: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores

CARDS

Over 1.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MON 5 of 5 (100%) · NOR 4 of 5 (80%)91.5%

Monaco's games: over 1.5 cards in 5 of 5 at home · Nordsjaelland's games: over 1.5 cards in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 94%

Left off the list: Over 0.5 first-half goals (the numbers (72%) and the records (93%) are 21 points apart, and nothing settles it)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.8%

Monaco goals →

Nordsjaelland goals ↓

0-06%

1-011%

2-012%

3-08%

4-04%

5-02%

0-14%

1-110%

2-110%

3-17%

4-14%

5-11%

0-22%

1-24%

2-24%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.6%

0-30.5%

1-31%

2-31%

3-30.8%

4-30.4%

5-30.2%

0-40.1%

1-40.2%

2-40.2%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.0%

1-50.0%

2-50.0%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

MONACOWWDWDWLWDL1.80 PPG

NORDSJAELLANDWWLDDDDDWL1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

MONACO HOMExNORDSJAELLAND AWAY

1.60SCORED A GAME1.601.10CONCEDED A GAME1.4020%CLEAN SHEETS40%0%FAILED TO SCORE12%3.70CORNERS A GAME5.892.20CARDS A GAME2.89

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

718 OF 767

NO PRICE YET

The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.67POINTS A GAME1.54+0.22GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.23+0.3SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.81.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.69LEAGUE GAMES13

Monaco: the quality side - a top-five league club v a smaller league.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

87%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

58%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

61%

NO · 85/90

MONACO OR DRAW

91%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

NORDSJAELLAND OR DRAW

63%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 13 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

MONACOxNORDSJAELLAND

5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME1.401.60CONCEDED A GAME2.202.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.680%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%80%BOTH SCORE80%4.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.87.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.0

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Monaco have scored in 90% of their games.

Nordsjaelland have scored in 90% of their games.

Monaco kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Nordsjaelland kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tableteam newscornerscards