Match details. UEFA Conference League, League Stage - 3. Kick-off is Thu 5 Nov, 21:00 Lagos time. It is played at Complex Sportiv Craiova. The referee is D. Robertson.
What's at stake. CS Universitatea Craiova are 11th on 4 points after 2 games, level on points with FC Copenhagen, level on points with Mjallby AIF. A win would take them above FC Copenhagen. KF Egnatia Rrogozhine are 20th on 2 points after 2 games, level on points with FC Nordsjaelland, level on points with Riga. A win would take them above FC Nordsjaelland.
Form. CS Universitatea Craiova have won eight, drawn two and lost none of their last ten, 2.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W. In this competition CS Universitatea Craiova have gone W D. KF Egnatia Rrogozhine have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D W. In this competition KF Egnatia Rrogozhine have gone D D.
The numbers. CS Universitatea Craiova score 2.8 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. CS Universitatea Craiova average 18.0 shots (7.3 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 51% of the ball. KF Egnatia Rrogozhine score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. KF Egnatia Rrogozhine average 13.1 shots (5.0 on target), 3.7 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
The case against. KF Egnatia Rrogozhine's record still gives them 23% to win.
The read. CS Universitatea Craiova to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make CS Universitatea Craiova the likelier winners; CS Universitatea Craiova are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CS Universitatea Craiova. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.
The bets. Best bet: CS Universitatea Craiova 1UP at 1.19, 87% on the records (CS Universitatea Craiova scored first 5 of last 5, led in 5; led in 5 of 5 at home). Predicted score: CS Universitatea Craiova 2-1 KF Egnatia Rrogozhine (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).