SFSTE

20:45Tue 3 Nov

BER

Stenhousemuir FC vs Berwick Rangers

CLASS D

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Challenge Cup. Kick-off is Tue 3 Nov, 20:45 Lagos time.

Form. Stenhousemuir FC have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D L. Berwick Rangers have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W W.

The numbers. Stenhousemuir FC score 0.5 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Stenhousemuir FC average 6.1 shots (2.3 on target), 3.7 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Berwick Rangers score 1.5 and concede 2.4 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Berwick Rangers average 0.0 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%.

The case against. Berwick Rangers's record still gives them 45% to win.

The read. Stenhousemuir FC to win. Berwick Rangers are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Berwick Rangers.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Stenhousemuir FC Over 0.5 Goals (Stenhousemuir FC's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Under 4.5 Goals (Stenhousemuir FC are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Stenhousemuir FC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Stenhousemuir FC 2-1 Berwick Rangers (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

STE 6 of 6 (100%) · BER 10 of 10 (100%)100%

Stenhousemuir FC: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home · Berwick Rangers: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100%

Left off the list: Stenhousemuir FC Over 0.5 Goals (Stenhousemuir FC's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Under 4.5 Goals (Stenhousemuir FC are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Stenhousemuir FC are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 8.3%

Stenhousemuir FC goals →

Berwick Rangers goals ↓

0-07%

1-08%

2-06%

3-03%

4-01.0%

5-00.3%

0-18%

1-112%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-26%

1-28%

2-26%

3-23%

4-21.0%

5-20.3%

0-33%

1-34%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.5%

5-30.1%

0-41%

1-41%

2-41%

3-40.5%

4-40.2%

5-40.0%

0-50.3%

1-50.4%

2-50.3%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

STENHOUSEMUIR FCLLLDLWWWLW1.30 PPG

BERWICK RANGERSWLLWWDLLLW1.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

STENHOUSEMUIR FC HOMExBERWICK RANGERS AWAY

0.50SCORED A GAME1.831.30CONCEDED A GAME2.5040%CLEAN SHEETS20%3.70CORNERS A GAME0.002.20CARDS A GAME0.00

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

STENHOUSEMUIR FC OR DRAW (1UP)

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137 OF 146

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

TRENDS

Stenhousemuir FC have scored in 50% of their games.

Berwick Rangers have scored in 70% of their games.

Stenhousemuir FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

Berwick Rangers kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards